26 March 2009

Let the Midnight Special shine it's everlovin' light on me

Ladies and Gentlemen . . . boys and girls of all ages . . . . focus your attention on the center ring! It's the King of the World, the Master of the Universe! It's a bird, it's a plane . . . . . it's. . . . .it's. . . . it's. . . . .just some guy!

. . . . .OK, there's a ton of it today - The President's virtual Town Hall Meeting . . . Tim Geithner is finally up on a roll as the new regs are laid out. . . . .John McCain's former campaign strategist comes in from left field with a surprising one . . . . .Joe the Plumber (yes, that Joe the Plumber!) steps up (like, for real, steps up) and offers support to someone who needed it. . . . .and of course, there was the complete trainwreck on American Idol last night . . . . .and the shocking turn on Lost (well, not that shocking if you're a regular viewer and used to the twists and turns the show takes)

. . . . .The musical selections in the podcast stay the same. Why! (1) because I like them and (2) because I'm busy these days; traveling, working, trying to get some things accomplished.

. . . . .Today's movie moment: "Duke, let's go do some crimes" "Yeah, let's go get some sushi and not pay" - Duke and Debbie in Repo Man, a cult classic from 1984

. . . . .First up, the President's virtual Town Hall meeting this morning. If you were part of it, it would be redundant to recap it. If you weren't part of it, you can find the transcript here online. His purpose behind doing it? To rally support for his economic policies and packages from the populace by going straight to them, to us, to you, to me, in a fashion that would have been unheard of and technologically impossible 10 years ago. The White House website, White House.gov had visitors numbering in the 10s of millions during the Town Hall, with over 3,606,000 votes cast by all of you on issues presented during it, and over 90,000 questions submitted, and some answered by the President during the Town Hall.

. . . . .The stark difference to me, after listening to his Press Conference the other day, and watching this, is how much the media doesn't get it. Their questions the other day were not grounded in reality, nor represented us, but instead represented their own skewed view of the world. Our new President was even willing to take a question on legalizing pot, but the focus was on what's going on in our lives, and in our worlds, and how much our own wallets are hurting, how anxious we all are about the future.

. . . . .Speaking of anxiety, there were 625,000 new jobless claims last week alone, raising the total of those claiming benefits to 5.56 million people. Remember that this total figure doesn't figure in (1) those folks for whom benefits have run out, (2) small business owners who have been put out of business by the horrid economic conditions, self-employed contractors who can't find work, or (3) those who are the working poor, people with jobs below the minimum wage (which is a joke), with no benefits who can't make ends meet.
. . . . .To top that off, the GDP (Gross Domestic Product), as calculated by the Commerce Department, shrank at an annual rate of 6.6% at the end of 4th quarter '08, making it the most dismal growth rate (fastest contraction) in the last 27 years.

. . . . . . .Timmy Geithner is up on a roll this week, after Monday's positive reaction to the details of his plan for banks and financials. He only needed time, he inherited the biggest mess in history from Hank "Hell, I don't know, I'm leaving office anyhow" Paulson, and it would take a while to get the measure of how bad it was, and what to do about it. Today, Geithner laid out proposed regulatory measures for the Nation's financial institutions to try and keep this mess from happening again, among others, some of the proposed rules:

_ Imposing tougher standards on financial institutions judged to be so big that their failure would represent a risk to the entire system.

_ Extending federal regulations for the first time to all trading in financial derivatives, exotic financial instruments such as credit default swaps that were blamed for much of the damage in the meltdown.

_ Requiring hedge funds and other private pools of capital, including private equity funds and venture capital funds, to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission if their assets exceed a certain size. The threshold amount has yet to be determined.

_ Creating a systemic risk regulator to monitor the biggest institutions. Geithner did not designate where such authority should reside, but the administration is expected to support awarding this power to the Federal Reserve.

The plan also includes a measure that Geithner and Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke discussed before the committee on Tuesday to give the administration expanded powers to take over major nonbank financial institutions, such as insurance companies and hedge funds that were teetering on the brink of collapse.

That power was aimed at preventing a repeat of the problems surrounding insurance giant American International Group Inc., which sparked a furor last week when it was revealed the company had distributed $165 million in bonuses to employees of its financial products group. The unit specialized in trading credit default swaps, the instruments that drove the company to near-collapse last fall.

"Let me be clear," Geithner told the committee. "The days when a major insurance company could bet the house on credit default swaps with no one watching and no credible backing to protect the company or taxpayers must end."


. . . . As reported by Ryan Grimm over on the Huffington Post, the Republicans, the out-of-touch, elitist, party of "no" and "we want him to fail" have laid out their own budget proposal. Here's a shocker, it's cornerstone is a massive tax cut for the wealthiest among us.

House Republican leaders called a press conference Thursday to unveil their "alternative budget." While it was thin on specifics, it does include one major policy proposal: a huge tax cut for the wealthy.

Under the Republican plan, the top marginal tax rate would be slashed from 35 to 25 percent, facilitating a dramatic transfer of wealth up the economic scale. Anyone making more than a $100,000 would pay the top rate; those under would pay 10 percent.


. . . . .Culture check: Yes, even though I don't normally watch it, my television was tuned to American Idol last night pre-Lost and I caught the trainwreck occuring with the incredibly bad version of a Motown song by the blonde. I watched open-mouthed, and I've bitched about it privately before. I'm a rock and roll geek, I admit that. I can tell you not just bands and songs, but producers, studios and uncredited guest musicians for most of musical history from about 1966 to 1967 on. I know that the guitar part in While My Guitar Gently Weeps isn't George Harrison, but ol' Slowhand, E.C. himself, because he and George were such good friends. I can tell you that Elton John, Rod Stewart and Ron Wood were all members of Long John Baldry's backing band when they were 19 years old. It goes on and on. My point? That people like Grand Funk Railroad, who at one point were the top grossing concert act, top sellers of albums, the biggest band in the world wouldn't have made it past the open auditions held in tents in stadiums when Idol fires up to find it's contestants. Can you see Kid Rock in front of Simon Cowell? Joe Walsh trying to get a guitar lick past Randy Jackson? Idol has it's place, in providing entertainment, and by presenting entertainers. But it's still not a substitute for learning your craft by playing until your fingers bleed and spending night, after night, after night out on the road in bars, roadhouses and small clubs building your audience and earning your chops.

. . . . .I wrote here the other day about Senator Arlen Spector standing alone amongst Republicans with his stance on EFCA (the Employee Free Choice Act) and standing alongside President Obama and the Centrist Democrats. Surprise, Sen. Spector got some unexpected support from an entirely unexpected source. Joe the Plumber, the world's most famous unlicensed plumber (who's not a plumber) and the current conservative pin-up boy and recognizable face (let's see. . .Palin is a joke, Jindal bombed out, and Cantor, well . . .more on him in the post below) is going out on tour in Pennsylvania in support of Senator Spector.

. . . . .Speaking of Eric Cantor, the current Republican next great hope for a face that won't blow up in itself, well, Eric is now finding himself in the unusual position of trying to explain his actions the other night. Eric, who is, for the moment, the ostensible head of the party that hammers President Obama constantly about staying focused on the nation, it's priorities and his job, skipped the President's press conference on Tuesday night to attend a Britney Spears concert in D.C. Wait, isn't Eric Cantor the Republican Whip for the House? The party of conservative moral values, family, God, one man one woman crap? And he attended a concert so he could sing along to "If U Seek Amy"? Hunh?

. . . . . .Whilst on the Right Wing, this one comes in from left field as a total shock. Steve Schmidt, Senator McCain's chief strategist during his Presidential campaign, in a interview with the Washington Blade, came out in support of gay marriage!

"I'm personally supportive of [marriage] equality for gay couples and I believe that it will happen over time," he told the newspaper. "I think that more and more Americans are insistent that, at a minimum, gay couples should be treated with respect and when they see a political party trying to stigmatize a group of people who are hardworking, who play by the rules, who raise decent families, they're troubled by it."

Schmidt revealed that he voted against California's Proposition 8, a measure banning gay marriage that his boss at the time supported.

. . . . .Ok, back to culture watching, last night's episode of Lost provided a few puzzlers, but in the end made perfect sense to me. Sayid did tell Sawyer that he'd found his purpose, but didn't reveal what it was, it was Sawyer who assumed that Sayid would go down quietly and let himself be shot. You had to pay careful attention to the flashback at the beginning, and to the quiet conversation that Sayid had with the bounty hunter at the bar. He knows what he is, he knows he's good at it, and he accepts all that, he just doesn't have to like it. As for the rest, putting Juliet and Kate together on a job is like lighting a dynamite fuse, and Sayid's "confession", which was nothing more than the real truth says everything to Horace, who in 1977, along with Dr. Marvin whatever-he-says-his-last-name-is-this-week, are the only two people who know about the Island's ability to travel through time. As well, Sayid's shooting the young Ben, in order to prevent the catastophic events of the next 30 years does make sense. Sayid is trying to save himself, and a lot of other people from events that he knows will not turn out well for them. However, not being around Daniel Faraday, he can't and doesn't know the Faraday theorem. If it's already happened, it's already happened, in other words, the past absolutely cannot be altered or changed. So, this leaves two possibilities. The real 12-year-old Ben is dead, and the Ben Linus we know is who knows - but we still know that a barely grown-up Ben does kill the members of the Dharma initiative and lead the Others in a takeover of the Island. So, is the 12 year old Ben severely injured and in need of a surgeon. Will Jack have to reveal who he really is in order to save the boy? Which would explain the grown Ben's insistence in 2006 that Jack Shepard be a passenger on Oceanic 815, since he would already be acquainted with Jack's surgical skill. And I haven't even touched on Christian-Jacob showing Frank Lapidus and Sun the group photo in the long-abandoned processing center. If I recall right, when the Others moved into the Dharma initiative compound, all reminders and remnants of Dharma had been removed, so which physical reality have the Losties, both 1977 and 2009, found themselves in? And if it's different from the original timeline, how do they get back to all of it? Stay tuned, only 1 and half seasons left to get all this answered.

. . . . .Given my long history with the auto industry, 24 years of working inside it, and now back with them again in an effort to help turn things around, Press Secretary Robert Gibb's daily briefing was harsh. He was hard on GM and Chrysler, but rightfully so. As someone on the inside, they deserve it. It's only Ford that hasn't asked for financial help, and it's only Ford that has turned to some of the experienced people they let go and asked them for help to get things turned around.

. . . . . . .Noriel Roubini, affectionately known as "Dr. Doom" for his very accurate, and at the time, very lonely, prediction last year of what was going to happen to the banks and markets, seems to be in tune with Paul Krugman on what Geithner and Obama are doing, believing that it doesn't go far enough. In Bloomberg today, Roubini says:
U.S. stocks will fall and the government will nationalize more banks as the economy contracts through the end of 2009, said Nouriel Roubini, the New York University professor who predicted last year’s economic crisis.

“The stock market is a bit ahead of the real macroeconomic and financial news,” Roubini, a professor at NYU’s Stern School of Business and the chairman of consulting firm Roubini Global Economics, said in an interview with Bloomberg Television in London today. “We’ll have some major banks going belly up that will need to be taken over.”

The global equity rebound in March that sent the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to its best monthly advance in 17 years is a “bear-market rally” and U.S. Treasury yields will “remain relatively low” as investors flock to the safest assets, Roubini said. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner’s new plan to remove toxic debt from financial companies won’t be enough for insolvent banks, he said.

Roubini’s outlook contrasts with predictions this week from Templeton Asset Management Ltd.’s Mark Mobius and Traxis Partners LLC’s Barton Biggs, who said that equities are poised to rally as government efforts to revive the economy and banking system begin to work. Investors are “way too optimistic” about the prospects for a recovery in the economy and earnings, Roubini said.

. . . . .Prayers go out today for the residents of Mississippi and Alabama, hammered by tornados, and to the residents of Fargo, North Dakota, who are facing a flood stage of 43 feet on the Red River, which if it happens, and crest, would literally put the entire city, every building under complete water. The residents are trying to build a sandbag wall to stave it off. It was inspiring to watch on CNN this morning, as everyone from students to prisoners released from City Jail worked side by side to fill bags and build a wall.

. . . . .Outta here, remember to kiss your kids, tell the ones you love out loud that you do, seize the precious moments with an open hand, change your own world and in so doing, change the world around you. Remember that this rodeo is a one way trip, and we don't get any say in when and how the ticket gets punched, no one gets out alive, so it's about right fuckin' here and now, do something about it.

The Desolation Angel
[where: Gregory, MI 48137]

25 March 2009

Flamin' from the West, back in the saddle again

Straight in from the heart of darkness, riding in from the tattered edges of night dreams, striding down the center of the empty, windblown streets of the city on the edge of forever, his duster flapping in the cool night breeze, halfway to Heaven, but just a mile out of Hell, it's the Angel. He can never, will never die.

. . . . .Back at it again, after a fortnight's worth of traveling to remote places, of wandering in some pretty dark, lonely spots, of doing my work further out on the edge than I've ever been, of deliberately striking out on my own, walking the edge of the chasm that runs straight through the soul of this country. Good to be back in the land of the living.

. . . . .Smells like spring, soft rains falling, green coming back. Everything's coming together now, the way it is supposed to be.

. . . . .Today's movie moment: "I know exactly what you mean. I know why you're here.You're here because you know something, What you know you can't explain, but you feel it. You've felt it your entire life, that there's something wrong with the world. You don't know what it is, but it's there, like a splinter in your mind, driving you mad. It is this feeling that has brought you to me. Do you know what I'm talking about?" - Morpheus in The Matrix

. . . .I was privileged(??!) on Monday to witness the transformation of Jim Cramer on Cramer's Mad Money as he suddenly became an Obama fan, the day the market rebounded 500 points based on Geithner's detailed plans published for the use of TARP funds.

. . . .Orszag, the budget director is doing a conference call this morning with reporters on budget details. Apparently, it's very technical and filled with minute detail. The political reporters that are covering it are loading Twitter land up with complaints, and generally moaning because they wanted political soundbites, not detailed econometrics.

. . . . .Reflecting on last night's press conference. Does anyone really stop to think about what a short time the President has been in office and how much he's accomplished. The 8 years of the Bush era, ended just a short time ago, seem like a bad dream, or just a whiff of a bad smell.

. . . .Back to the President, and listening to the press conference. The man hit the ground running with a great team, and has managed to keep several plates spinning in the air all at once. He is the focal point for not just a national economic crisis, but a global one, as the world watches to see what what will happen here, and if the banks can survive. He also has kept his team firmly focused on the Mexican border, where the drug wars are preparing the topple the government down there and put a narco-state right next door to us. He's remained focused on Afghanistan/Iraq and kept Hillary Clinton focused on Russia and the Mideast. He still remains plugged into and commited to health care reform and turning the education system in the U.S. around, and rebuilding the infrastructure. All this. . . . .and he's taking the time to at least try to learn to bowl! This man has incredible energy, but more importantly, to me, it demonstrates the depth of his commitment to the people and to this country.

. . . . .What are the right wingers, the Republicans, the party of "no" and "he needs to fail" going to do when he succeeds and they are exposed as the elitist, seditious traitors that they are? What are Rush, Sean Hannity, Bill O'Reilly, Ann Coulter, Michelle Malkin, et al going to do when they finally discover that the American people really do believe in what he's trying to do? What will they do when their ugly souls are revealed to the light and they begin to shrivel?

. . . . .Great piece from Ari Melber over on Politico this morning. It's an ideas piece that he did on our collective outrage right now at what we see going on and how that can drive fundamental, structural change.
"Outrage is back — and long overdue. Now, what to do with it?

First, tune out the self-interested lectures from all those guilty elites who tell taxpayers to “stay calm” while the greedy gorge on our money. Thieves don’t usually make good therapists.

Then, let’s channel this backlash into more than crisis-driven policymaking. The American International Group bonus uproar can drive structural change — from strengthening genuine shareholder authority to forcing transparency on the legislative process — to stop politicians from voting in public and reversing themselves in secret. (Some of these ideas are finally in motion.)

Even as Congress finds its taste for accountability and reform, however, there is another key task for policymakers — and the media.

Let’s recognize some of the people who got these issues right from the beginning. Many were ignored — or worse, vilified. They deserve our attention and respect. We might even learn something from them."
. . . . . Media Matters reports that one of the ugliest, vilest men alive, the traitor Rush Limbaugh, was at it again on Tuesday, referring to Barack Obama as "Barack Ogabe", a reference to Zimbabwe's president Robert Ogabe, and calling Michelle Obama an "angry black woman". Limbaugh is someone whom I sincerely hope burns in the hottest circles of Hell. As someone who has been clean and sober for over 28 years now, I'll go ahead and say it, I do question Rush's sobriety.

. . . . .One of my other very favorite ultra Right wing nutbags, Michelle Bachmann, of Anoka, Minnesota; (what is wrong with that state? I know two men from there, Dave and Verne, and their families, exceptional, smart, good compassionate people all, and they have got to be the only ones I've ever met from there who can walk and chew gum at the same time. My ex-mother-in-law and ex-father-in-law and one ex-sister-in-law are three of sweetest, smartest people I ever met, but they moved, otherwise that state doesn't seem to be anything but shrill, reactionary morons who want everyone else to pay attention to them, work for their own ends, and take care of them). Bachmann is someone who just can't seem to go 90 days without saying something else jaw-dropping, came out with this one the other day, stating that she wanted the citizens of this country "armed and dangerous" over Obama's tax plan to reduce carbon emissions and try to tackle climate change issues.

. . . . .The Grateful Dead are getting ready to go back on tour as the Dead, the entire group, minus Jerry, next month in North Carolina. Talk about busy, Warren Haynes not only is the Dead's guitarist, he is also the Allman Brothers other guitarist, besides Derek Trucks, and of course, is the founder of Gov't Mule. All 3 are on tour this spring. Warren's gonna be busy.

. . . . .Of course, the other conflict will come this spring when Bruce gets back out here in a few days. Max Weinberg is, of course, the bandleader for Conan and Late Night, which is moving time slots. He's contractually obligated to Conan, but one of the stories coming out of this is hilarious, since there isn't any question at all the Max will be on tour with Bruce, since he's the bandleader of the E Street Band as they try to keep up with Bruce night after night. Apparently a popular actress with a TV series wanted to take a sabbatical to do a movie, but was blocked from doing so by her contractual obligations to the network. When her agent complained and pointed out that Max could take off any time he wanted to, the network vice president's response to the agent was simple. "When Jennifer is the drummer for Bruce Springsteen, she can have all the time off she wants. Till then, she's got a contract."

. . . . .I've gotten a ton of e-mail and phone calls (the voicemail was chock full up) over the last couple of weeks while I've been busy re-inventing, re-imagining, living the wastelands and wandering the desolation. Time for some nods to, and contributions from some faithful readers.

. . . .From our good friend Gary:
Today I have emailed or called our 2 Ca. senators, Congressman Brad Sherman, Congressman Henry Waxman, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi, MoveOn.Org, and the national committees of both of the major parties indicating my outrage at the prospect of Madoff not having to return the funds he stole and the AIG execs getting 200 million in compensation for ruining their company and making taxpayers liable for billions in AIG obligations. I urge each and every one of you to take similar action. I am livid, and I hope you too are outraged by these gross miscarriages of justice.
. . . .This speaks directly the little paragraph above on outrage, and of course, remember that the easiest way to contact your Senator or Representative, as we all should as participatory member of the Republic can be found at Congress.org, where you can e-mail your political representatives directly and track their voting on bills.

. . . . .Gary sends another one along that someone had sent to him. First the conpiracy theorists, (the black helicopter, One World Government folks) were all worked up about Obama supposedly planning on putting his hand on the Koran to be inaugurated. Then it was whether or not he was really an American citizen and the whole birth certificate idiocy. Now, it's the Bilderbergers!

March 15) - Another conspiracy theory surrounding President Barack Obama is making the rounds, according to Politico.com.
Skip over this content

The latest one contends that many top officials in Obama's administration are involved in a clandestine global cabal bent on creating a one-world government that supersedes the United States.
For decades, conspiracy theorists have viewed the Bilderberg group, an international organization made up of political, financial, academic and military heavyweights that comes together annually to discuss world affairs, as similar to the Trilateral Commission or the Council on Foreign Relations-- two groups comprised of influential movers and shakers who, some say, control world events from behind the scenes.
And now, some in the Obama administration who have taken part in Bilderberg conferences in the past are gaining attention for their alleged involvement in a secret bid for worldwide domination.
. . . . .I agree with Gary, it's just more bullshit and quoting him "For heaven's sake, it's back to the days of Woodrow Wilson"

. . . . .From Barbara Vitale (Hi Barbara!), she sends this along, it's a website put up by someone recently unemployed, and dedicated to providing real help. The link is:
http://www.thecanned.com
Thanks for sending along the helpful info, Barbara, we need it right now.

. . . . .From the Rev Charla down Hawkwind way, she sends this link along to video of President Obama on the National Day of Prayer;
Obama and the National Day of Prayer

. . . . . From our good friend Kay Mejia, she sends this link along to video of Cramer being taken on by Jon Stewart on the Daily Show last week. It's priceless, and if you missed it, it's a good chance to catch up on it. Don't be out of the loop! Watch it!
Jon Stewart vs. Cramer

. . . .Thanks to all of you for your support and readership, and a big shout out to Jim and Jane as they settle in down in North Carolina. We miss you and love you, but thanks for taking our Southeastern flank and covering us from that side.

. . . .And while we're on faithful readers and shout outs. Happy 48th Birthday Vee Jay! (last Sunday)

. . . .Let's not ever forget our part and remember some really important links to the White House, to the Recovery Plan and to the Bailouts.
White House.gov
Recovery.gov
FinancialStability.gov

. . . .While everyone is focused on the economy, the EFCA (Employee Free Choice Act) is heating up big in Congress right now. Obama and the centrist Dems oppose EFCA, (as do I) and last night Republican Senator Arlen Spector of Pennsylvania put his head on the chopping block again and sided with Obama and those centrist Dems. I give Spector credit, since the election, he's refused to support his own part and it's policies of opposition and "no" that seem directly intended to shipwreck this nation, and has instead put himself out alone in his party as the man who supports progressive action and the change we need and voted for. I remember him from back in the Watergate days. The man's got balls, and he ain't afraid to use them.

. . . .From Tina Brown's Daily Beast, the Cheat Sheet that collects news from around the world that's important. To go along with the market's response on Monday to Geithner's plan, Bloomberg reports that durable goods orders around the world took a huge jump yesterday, the London Times turns in the report on the AIG London execs who are refusing to return the bonuses they got from U.S. TARP bailout funds, and the New York Times has Jake DeSantis's resignation letter from AIG sent directly to Edward Liddy, the CEO. DeSantis published the letter in the Times, and it's publication in the paper was how Liddy found out that his structure was beginning to crumble.

. . . .Speaking of which, does Liddy really, really think that changing AIG's name is the answer to the public's outrage and our desire to tear that building down stone by stone?

. . . .If you didn't catch the series finale of Battlestar Galactica last Friday night, much less the series itself, you ripped yourself off. Hats off to Ronald D. Moore for a masterwork. A series that in the end took on the questions of what it means to be human, what the nature of God is, what the nature of faith itself is. Many questions were answered in the finale, but as is fitting, more were left open-ended to the viewer's interpretations, and that's as it should be. Me, I absolutely loved Baltar's monlogue in the command center to Cavil on the nature of God, and that fact that God doesn't make choices or take sides, that what we do, not God. And for myself, I absolutely flipped over Starbuck - Kara Thrace being an angel who'd died and been resurrected in order to insure humanity's survival. The final shot, of the two fallen angels, who'd been the guides all along behind the scene, who'd taken on the appearance of Six and Baltar making the last reference to God. "You know He doesn't like that name." Brilliant stuff, fire up your Netflix account and start watching it from Season One on and prepare for a fascinating meditation on what our own nature, as a people, as a species, as a race is.

. . . .Matt Taibbi just posted a brilliant piece in Rolling Stone that, ostensibly, is about the financial crisis and Wall Street, but speaks directly to heart of what our society became over the last decade, speaks to the heart of greed, cynicism and avarice that had taken this country over:

"It's over — we're officially, royally fucked. no empire can survive being rendered a permanent laughingstock, which is what happened as of a few weeks ago, when the buffoons who have been running things in this country finally went one step too far. It happened when Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner was forced to admit that he was once again going to have to stuff billions of taxpayer dollars into a dying insurance giant called AIG, itself a profound symbol of our national decline — a corporation that got rich insuring the concrete and steel of American industry in the country's heyday, only to destroy itself chasing phantom fortunes at the Wall Street card tables, like a dissolute nobleman gambling away the family estate in the waning days of the British Empire.
The latest bailout came as AIG admitted to having just posted the largest quarterly loss in American corporate history — some $61.7 billion. In the final three months of last year, the company lost more than $27 million every hour. That's $465,000 a minute, a yearly income for a median American household every six seconds, roughly $7,750 a second. And all this happened at the end of eight straight years that America devoted to frantically chasing the shadow of a terrorist threat to no avail, eight years spent stopping every citizen at every airport to search every purse, bag, crotch and briefcase for juice boxes and explosive tubes of toothpaste. Yet in the end, our government had no mechanism for searching the balance sheets of companies that held life-or-death power over our society and was unable to spot holes in the national economy the size of Libya (whose entire GDP last year was smaller than AIG's 2008 losses).
So it's time to admit it: We're fools, protagonists in a kind of gruesome comedy about the marriage of greed and stupidity. And the worst part about it is that we're still in denial — we still think this is some kind of unfortunate accident, not something that was created by the group of psychopaths on Wall Street whom we allowed to gang-rape the American Dream. When Geithner announced the new $30 billion bailout, the party line was that poor AIG was just a victim of a lot of shitty luck — bad year for business, you know, what with the financial crisis and all. Edward Liddy, the company's CEO, actually compared it to catching a cold: "The marketplace is a pretty crummy place to be right now," he said. "When the world catches pneumonia, we get it too." In a pathetic attempt at name-dropping, he even whined that AIG was being "consumed by the same issues that are driving house prices down and 401K statements down and Warren Buffet's investment portfolio down."
. . . . .Read the whole piece here.

. . . .Same edition of Rolling Stone lists their top 100 people in the country right now who are "Agents of Change".
It would be a luxury if the function of the list we present here were simply to shake ourselves out of complacency. But, unfortunately, we are far beyond that. With the election of Barack Obama and the deep hole that his predecessor left for him to dig his way out of, change is no longer a dreamy notion but a reality — and a responsibility.
. . . . Read the whole piece here.

. . . .Despite the market's and rest of the world's positive reaction to Geithner's details on the bank bailouts released on Monday, Paul Krugman (whom I respect, and often agree with, but not this time) still isn't convinced:

Right now, our economy is being dragged down by our dysfunctional financial system, which has been crippled by huge losses on mortgage-backed securities and other assets.
As economic historians can tell you, this is an old story, not that different from dozens of similar crises over the centuries. And there’s a time-honored procedure for dealing with the aftermath of widespread financial failure. It goes like this: the government secures confidence in the system by guaranteeing many (though not necessarily all) bank debts. At the same time, it takes temporary control of truly insolvent banks, in order to clean up their books.
That’s what Sweden did in the early 1990s. It’s also what we ourselves did after the savings and loan debacle of the Reagan years. And there’s no reason we can’t do the same thing now.
But the Obama administration, like the Bush administration, apparently wants an easier way out. The common element to the Paulson and Geithner plans is the insistence that the bad assets on banks’ books are really worth much, much more than anyone is currently willing to pay for them. In fact, their true value is so high that if they were properly priced, banks wouldn’t be in trouble.
And so the plan is to use taxpayer funds to drive the prices of bad assets up to “fair” levels. Mr. Paulson proposed having the government buy the assets directly. Mr. Geithner instead proposes a complicated scheme in which the government lends money to private investors, who then use the money to buy the stuff. The idea, says Mr. Obama’s top economic adviser, is to use “the expertise of the market” to set the value of toxic assets.
But the Geithner scheme would offer a one-way bet: if asset values go up, the investors profit, but if they go down, the investors can walk away from their debt. So this isn’t really about letting markets work. It’s just an indirect, disguised way to subsidize purchases of bad assets.
. . . .You can catch the rest of the New York Times piece here.

. . . . It's good to be back. Sometimes the Angel has to work alone, to take those long walks in the Wasteland, in the Desolation because one of his own has called to him, or his own vision drives him to do those solitary things, but know this, he's always got your back, he's always there, just on the edge of your vision, and is always just around the corner to the light of day. Got a little lost along the way, but I'm feelin' OK. I got rock and roll music on the radio, so lock up the wives and the sisters, tell the old folks and the kids they're protected, and if you live your life like a parasite, taking from the work, sweat, toil, blood, sacrifice and risk taken by others without trying to contribute and help yourself, thinking it's someone else's job and obligation to take care of you. I'm coming for ya, like a runaway freight train and there ain't a damn thing you can do about it.

. . . .Kiss your kids, tell the ones you love out loud that you do, seize the precious moments with an open hand, change your own world and in so doing, change the larger world around you. This rodeo is a one-way ticket, no one gets out alive and we don't have any say in the terms and conditions of how the ticket gets punched, so it's not about tomorrow, it's about right fuckin' here and now, and what we do with that. This ain't no dress rehearsal.

. . . ."Well if she wants to see me, you can tell her that I'm easily found. . . . . There's a darkness on the edge of town. Everyone's got a secret sonny, something that they just can't face. Some folks spend their whole lives trying to keep it, they carry it with them every step that they take til some day they just cut it loose, cut it loose or let it drag 'em down. Tonight I'll be on that hill 'cause I can't stop. I'll be on that hill with everything I got. Lives on the line where dreams are found and lost. I'll be there on time and I'll pay the cost, for wanting things that can only be found in the darkness on the edge of town." - B.S. -1979

The Desolation Angel
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12 March 2009

Wednesday/Thursday overnights

The rider pulls his coat close around him, as the spring rain and winds howl and drive around him, he is focused, knows where he has to go and cannot afford the normal niceties of other peoples lives; a home, a fire, some place to relax. His vision is clear, his focus and intent like an arrow.

Update:
I'm headed off to a rather remote location for work, and updating will be will nigh impossible for 6 to 7 days. Please pay attention to this space, as by next Wednesday it should be back on a daily update schedule, until then, enjoy, spend some time on the left hand side a little lower down the page and go back through the archives. I've left the music and podcast up, but it's not an auto-start, if you'd like to enjoy some of the music, just click the middle box of the three grouped together on the narrow bar and let it provide for your day. Your Angel has got to earn some money to continue to support this little effort.

. . . . .
I don't know what fiend it was that invented that size of Crunch N' Munch. Like I'm going to eat only a part of that box once I tear the foil open!

. . . . . .Sorry, but I'm upset. I don't know why the producers of Lost feel like they can take a week off and just repeat last week's episode as an "enhanced". Dammit, this is getting good and I want to know what's up with the whole 1974 thing!

. . . . . .Alright! It got good tonight on Hardball, Chris Matthews took Ari Fleischer on full-bore over his support of his former boss, George W. Bush. Matthews took Fleischer to task for Bush leaving office with one of the lowest Presidential approval ratings in history, for creating the economic mess that Obama is trying to clean up, and for waging war around the world on truly frightening rationales. Fleischer's response, that "Obama should thank Bush for inheriting a world without Saddam in it"???!!!

. . . One of the most important things that we should be paying attention to is happening just below our border in Mexico and has spilled over into the U.S. and is now bad enough to warrant a daily security briefing every day on Obama's desk from Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano. Mexico is dangerously close to being overthrown and turned into a narco-state. Right now, Obama is weighing out whether or not deploy National Guard along the Mexican border to try and contain the drug wars.
. . . .So far this year alone, there have been 1,000 deaths along the border in the narco-wars, compared to last years total of 5,800.
. . . .Mexico is basically owned right now by 5 major drug cartels, with the most violent being the Zeta's, who are all former Mexican Special Forces that were trained and armed by U.S. Special Forces, then paid an incredible amount of money by El Chope, Mexico's largest drug lord to become an armed cartel.
. . . . The corruption spreads to the top, an informant has told the U.S. that Mexican police command, up to the National Commander are bought and paid for, as is the man in charge of the Mexican equivalent of the DEA, as most of the Mexican Federal and State prosecuting attorneys are.
. . . .Right now, there is Mexican Drug Cartel activity as far north as Anchorage, Alaska, Chicago and Detroit. The Mexican drug cartels are responsible for kidnappings and murders in Phoenix, Houston, New Orleans, Birmingham, Alabama.
. . . .The actuality, the fact, the truth is that America's War On Drugs created this state. America is still the single largest drug using nation in the world, and conversely, through both legitimate and illegitimate dealers, is the supplier of all the sophisticated weaponry; assault rifles, grenades, night vision, shoulder-mounted rockets, all being used by the narcotrafficantes.
. . . .The largest ripple in the pond is yet to come in a published report from the Task Force put together of former Latin American leaders and America's top drug officials. Their recommendation to stop the war on our border? Legalize it, because it can't be stopped, and if it's legalized, then at least it can be taxed.

. . . .Terrific Larry King Live on Wednesday night with Sanjay Gupta sitting in. Former President Bill Clinton was on, and speaking specifically to health care.
. . . .I know for myself, as an independent contractor and consultant, that I don't carry Health Insurance, making me one of the uninsured, so two things that come immediately to mind, and from personal experience.
(1) I wait longer to go to the doctor, and in many cases, just don't. Therefore, when someone like me shows up at the doctor, it generally is worse, and costs more in the long run to treat, since none of us go in during the early stages of an illness. As a matter of fact, there are things that I know I need to do right now, but can't afford, and am just willing to find a way to live with it.
(2) Along with the increased severity, which costs more, the pricing structure for the uninsured is astronomically higher, since insurance groups negotiate lower prices for the insured groups for similar treatment.

. . . . . I'm still trying to get my head wrapped around Meghan McCain showing up on Rachel Maddow on MSNBC on Wednesday night to continue her very coherent argument that Ann Coulter is in fact not a true voice of the Republican party, but essentially is only a publicity slut for her books.

. . . . .Although, this still can't beat the feud heating up between Jon Stewart of the Daily Show and Jim Cramer of Mad Money. Stewart is on a roll lately, and has had enought of Cramer spending his time being part of the "Just Say No" crowd who have no solutions or answers, but only criticism and a hope for failure.

. . . . .For geeks like me, this one is so cool. The U.K. Telegraph reports that U.S. researchers, are, credibly and actually, only 5 years away from a true A.I. (Artificial Intelligence).
EEEK! No, No, that's how Skynet started! Someone, please go check quick and see if there's a kid named John Conner living in Southern California right now!

. . . . . .Now, here's a frickin' shock, "A majority of voters don't like Rush Limbaugh"

. . . .Another cool one, a secret Civil War message was found recently in Abraham Lincoln's pocket watch.

. . . .Well, this one isn't good. Michigan still leads the nation with double-digit unemployment, 11.6%. As of January, California, South Carolina and Delaware caught up with Michigan and all entered double digits themselves and are all above 10%.

Outta here, lot going on, will update throughout the rest of the week and weekend. Kiss your kids, tell the ones you love out loud that you do, seize the precious moments with an open hand, change your world, and in so doing, change the world at large around you.
This rodeo is a one-way ticket, no one gets out alive and none of us get to dictate the terms and conditions of how the ticket gets punched. It's about right here, and right now. Do Something.

The Desolation Angel

10 March 2009

Tuesday Blues

Let us now decide who we are, what we were born for. Let us not make that lone Rider's long effort in vain.

. . . . .Well, let's see now, Tuesday and it's getting ready to rain all over most of the U.S. again. Must be March, bringing in our friends from the West to renew everything again.

. . . . .I was thinking about that one the other night, watched The Two Towers again, had an overwhelming urge, the particular line when Orlando Bloom as Legolas looks at Viggo Mortenson, Aragorn, as the thunderstorm starts right before the battle at Helm's Deep and says to him "Your friends are here". Fairly significant line to some of us in my world.

. . . .I was asked the other day about the time and attention I spend on what's happening with the extreme Right wing and the tattered remnants of the Republican party. It's simple. Those who now purport to be the leaders of that faction, those who put themselves in the position of speaking for the remainder of the Right are the enemy right now, and they've put themselves in that position, knowingly and purposefully. The enemy of the President, the enemy of the Nation, and the enemy of the People. The lies and distortions they spread are designed to do one thing, and one thing only, foster dissent and lay the groundwork for the President's failure. They are open about it now, openly advocating for failure for President Obama, which means failure for us, failure for the people, and failure for the Nation. It is idiocy, pure and simple, with things at this critical juncture to advocate for failure. It is an act of pure maliciousness to become a spokesperson for the failure an administration that is only 50 days old. 50 days old, think about it. This new President and his White House are being asked to not only fix the crises they were left with only 50 days in, but are being labeled as the people who caused it. Wrong, Wrong, Wrong! We aren't that stupid, it was the previous 8 years of complete financial mismanagement that left us in this position. One simple figure tells all. Bill Clinton left George W. Bush a trillion dollar surplus. A trillion dollars! And George left office with a $3 trillion dollar deficit! All under Republican rule, a unified White House and Congress. An illegally prosecuted, fruitless war against the wrong people in the wrong nation that cost $6 billion a month, while the true perpetrator of 9/11's attacks still goes unfettered and unbothered through Pakistan.
. . . .This absolute attempt to derail the process of change that we all voted for back in November, this attempt to stop change from occurring in the places it is so desperately needed is nothing more than living proof of the supreme arrogance and imperialistic dreams of the far Right Wing, their belief that somehow they are better than us, the American people, and that we need to be somehow sheparded and lead by them. It speaks to the "We Are Watching You" movement, and hundreds of other activist movements, all of whom are re-energized and not willing to let them have the reins again, reins that they stole through a corruption of the electoral process to begin with.
. . . . Given that, there are so many of you readers who identify yourselves as members of the Lost 10th, as dog soldiers, as defenders of the people, it's necessary to know what they're saying, what lies and untruths they're trying to spread and how they're working for the destruction of the fabric of this Republic so it can be combatted with truth. They're mostly dark little people, and it's amazing what a little sunshine, some facts and some intelligence can do to send them scurrying. On top of that, they're only doing their job, holding that mirror up to show us our shadow sides so we can know what we don't want to be like.
. . . . Deepak Chopra, (yes that Deepak Chopra, I read everyone) did a nice little piece that was published in the Huffington Post along those lines, that of Rush Limbaugh being the emodiment of everyone's shadow side, that in fact, despite being the spokesperson and de facto leader of the Republican party, despite purporting to represent the far right wing of that party and it's religious movement, Rush, in fact is the very icon of anti-morality:
Limbaugh has taken to saying that he wants Obama's policies to fail because they spell the end of an America based on personal freedom. This isn't just a grotesque exaggeration; it disguises the very thing the right wing has been doing when it curtailed civil liberties in the name of national security.
The Limbaugh effect fueled the anti-morality of the Bush years. Under ordinary morality, the wretched plight of illegal immigrants, for example, must be considered along with the fact that they are breaking the law. Being poor, illiterate, and desperate, their human condition makes them more sympathetic than ruthless lawbreakers would be. But under anti-morality, if you hate immigrants because they are foreigners who don't look American enough, the argument is over. Your anger strips away tolerance, sympathy, and regard for "the other." Hence the almost imperial bearing of Limbaugh, the bland certainty that because he never stops being angry, he never stops being right.

The same goes for a wide range of "others" who mightily tick off Limbaugh's listeners: Muslims, feminists, people of color, gays, and environmentalists. There's no need to understand them or try and accommodate their views. Just put them through the wringer of Limbaugh's perpetual judgment and, poof, there's no problem anymore. Of course, the whole scheme is delusional. Problems aren't solved by remaining perpetually ticked off. Accords can't be reached when you demonize the other side.

By any sane account, Rush Limbaugh is dead weight when it comes to finding a solution to anything. Like Sarah Palin, his spiritual bride, he lurks in the shadow of the human psyche, expressing the dark anger, resentment, jealousy, and vindictiveness that society can never escape. And yet, the next time you tune into Limbaugh's censorious circus of insensitive scurrility, give him a kind thought. As far back as Mark Twain, the American character has been ornery. We secretly love rascals, bank robbers, tricksters, swindlers, hell raisers, and outlaws. And when we feel so inclined, we laugh at them. Rush Limbaugh may represent a toxic form of entertainment -- and the bile he spews bears no resemblance to true morality -- but the fact that America makes room for him is something to be proud of. I don't pray that he goes away. I pray that we can keep laughing, even if our grin is crooked, at the pranks of the eternal shadow who is our companion for life, whether we want him or not.

. . . . .There are others who have had enough as well, these coming from the Right Wing themselves. Meghan McCain, daughter of John McCain; conservative, Republican and writer for the Daily Beast took on Ann Coulter calling her "Offensive, Insulting and Confusing":

I straight up don't understand this woman or her popularity. I find her offensive, radical, insulting, and confusing all at the same time. But no matter how much you or I disagree with her, the cult that follows Coulter cannot be denied.
... But here is what I don't get about Coulter: Is she for real or not? Are some of her statements just gimmicks to gain publicity for her books or does she actually believe the things she says? Does she really believe all Jewish people should be "perfected" and become Christians? And what was she thinking when she said Hillary Clinton was more conservative than my father during the last election? If you truly have the GOP's best interests at heart, how can you possibly justify telling an audience of millions that a Democrat would be a better leader than the Republican presidential candidate?
. . . .And I am going to give due respect and props to her father, John McCain, who has openly broken with the "kook" wing of his party and, in this one pulled from Politico, says flat-out of Obama "I don't want him to fail". John gets it. If Obama fails, we all fail and that Nation fails. Thank you John.

. . . . Frank Schaeffer, another conservative who has had absolutely enough, a former life-long Republican who was a speechwriter in the first Bush White House, who worked on McCain's campaign, published a piece on Sunday that was directed at what he terms Republican "traitors":
Dear Republican Leaders: The Republican Party has become the party dedicated to sabotaging the American future.
You Republicans are the arsonists who burned down our national home. You combined the failed ideologies of the Religious Right, so-called free market deregulation and the Neoconservative love of war to light a fire that has consumed America. Now you have the nerve to criticize the "architect" America just hired -- President Obama -- to rebuild from the ashes. You do nothing constructive, just try to hinder the one person willing and able to fix the mess you created.
In the mid 1980s I left the Religious Right, after I realized just how very anti-American they are, (the theme I explore in my book Crazy For God). They wanted America to fail in order to prove they were right about America's "moral decline." Soon after McCain lost in 2000 I re-registered as an independent in disgust with W. Bush. But I still respected many Republicans. Not today.
How can anyone who loves our country support the Republicans now? Barry Goldwater, William F. Buckley and Ronald Reagan defined the modern conservatism that used to be what the Republican Party I belonged to was about. Today no actual conservative can be a Republican. Reagan would despise today's wholly negative Republican Party. And can you picture the gentlemanly and always polite Ronald Reagan, endorsing a radio hate-jock slob who crudely mocked a man with Parkinson's and who now says he wants an American president to fail?!
With people like Limbaugh as the loudmouth image of the Republican Party -- you need no enemies. But something far more serious has happened than an image problem: the Republican Party has become the party of obstruction at just the time when all Americans should be pulling together for the good of our country. Instead, Republicans are today's fifth column sabotaging American renewal.

. . . .And we'll see how long Conservative writer and Republican party member David Frum lasts with his piece this week that is the cover story of Newsweek, "Rush is Wrong"
On the one side, the president of the United States: soft-spoken and conciliatory, never angry, always invoking the recession and its victims. This president invokes the language of "responsibility," and in his own life seems to epitomize that ideal: He is physically honed and disciplined, his worst vice an occasional cigarette. He is at the same time an apparently devoted husband and father. Unsurprisingly, women voters trust and admire him.
And for the leader of the Republicans? A man who is aggressive and bombastic, cutting and sarcastic, who dismisses the concerned citizens in network news focus groups as "losers." With his private plane and his cigars, his history of drug dependency and his personal bulk, not to mention his tangled marital history, Rush is a walking stereotype of self-indulgence—exactly the image that Barack Obama most wants to affix to our philosophy and our party. And we're cooperating! Those images of crowds of CPACers cheering Rush's every rancorous word—we'll be seeing them rebroadcast for a long time.
Rush knows what he is doing. The worse conservatives do, the more important Rush becomes as leader of the ardent remnant. The better conservatives succeed, the more we become a broad national governing coalition, the more Rush will be sidelined.
But do the rest of us understand what we are doing to ourselves by accepting this leadership? Rush is to the Republicanism of the 2000s what Jesse Jackson was to the Democratic party in the 1980s.

. . . .If you've made it this far, by now, you know the admiration that I have for David Fiderer. He, along with Paul Krugman are two of the sanest voices so far on the economic crisis. Self-avowed geeks both of them, non-partisan, and very, very intelligent. As well, David and Paul are gifted at taking complex subjects and making them readable. David Fiderer did a piece, first published in the Huffington Post, that is simple accessible and explains the housing and mortgage crisis very well and is worth the read, as it lays the numbers out in simple terms, as well, he uses it as a refutation of the Republican and Right Wing "Just say No and wait for Obama to fail" crowd. I am publishing in total here, as it deserves the read, it's titled "The Simple Arithmetic of Mortgage Crisis Debunks Right Wing Media Narratives" :

Five months ago, when the world trembled at the specter of a global financial meltdown, Rep. Darrell Issa of California ran on to Hardball to deliver a "f____-you" to his constituents. They live in San Diego and Riverside County, Ground Zero in the foreclosure crisis.
Explaining why he worked to defeat the bipartisan bailout deal intended to stabilize the mortgage markets, Issa, who had previously voted against laws to curtail predatory lending, blamed the Treasury Secretary. "You know, in fairness to Hank Paulson, I don't know him well, but I know enough he's not a banker, he's comparatively a day trader," said Issa. "We need him to get bankers to say how you stabilize long-term assets and stop treating it like it's Goldman Sachs." Issa's poison darts foreshadowed the current rhetoric of Newt Gingrich, who rails against the "Bush-Obama continuity in economic policy."
Why do fabulists like Issa can get traction in the media? One reason is that many talking heads still lack a command of the basic data. So much coverage of the financial crisis remains fragmentary, vague and anecdotal. For businessmen, the narrative is always framed by the numbers, the bottom line. There's no way around it. If we want to grasp how we got in this mess we need to look at some numbers.
Here are the salient numbers, simplified in a user-friendly format, that get to the heart of the matter.
They explain the year-old diagnosis rendered by a Presidential Task Force headed by Hank Paulson:
"The turmoil in financial markets clearly was triggered by a dramatic weakening of underwriting standards for US subprime mortgages, beginning in late 2004 and extending into early 2007."[Italics in original text.]
Why would subprime mortgages unravel the entire system? First of all...
Home mortgage debt is HUGE.
The residential mortgage market dwarfs the market for Treasuries. By the end of 2000, home mortgage debt in the United States was about $4.8 trillion, or about 1.4 times the Federal debt owed to the public. By the end of 2007, home mortgage debt had doubled, to $10.5 trillion, or 2.1 times the national debt. Since then, Federal debt has jumped up, to $5.8 trillion at September 30, 2008, whereas home mortgage debt has remained flat.
Home Mortgage Debt [$ trillions as of Dec. 31]
2000 $4.8
2003 $6.9
2007 $10.5
Source: Federal Reserve
Of course, this comparison understates the relative debt burden on homeowners, who, unlike the U.S. government, can neither roll over their debt indefinitely, nor print money.
Debt of the Federal Government [$ trillions as of Dec. 31]
2000 $3.4
2003 $4.6
2007 $5.1
9/30/08 $5.8
[The foregoing debt reflects amounts owed to the public. Most of the government debt racked up during the Bush years, excluded from the numbers above, was "borrowed" from the Social Security surplus.]
Home mortgage debt is central to the solvency of the financial system and, perhaps, to the U.S. government. Over eight years, the one category that grew as rapidly as home mortgages was the size of debt owed by financial entities. The two categories are related.
Debt Owed by Financial Entities [$ trillions as of Dec. 31]
2000 $7.4
2003 $10.9
2007 $16.2
Source: Federal Reserve
If you fear that some of that $10.5 trillion in home mortgage debt might be eventually converted into obligations of the U.S. government, you're ahead of the game. Almost half of the domestic financial sector debt is already owed by Government Sponsored Entities, or GSEs - Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae - either through mortgage securities that they guarantee, or through corporate bonds that have an implicit (perhaps soon to be explicit) government guarantee.
Debt Obligations of Government Sponsored Entities [$ trillions as of Dec. 31]
2000 $4.3
2003 $5.9
2007 $7.4
Another big factor in the debt markets is other asset-backed securities, which totaled about $4.5 trillion at the end of 2007. Of that amount, $2.1 trillion represents securities backed by home mortgages. These mortgage securities, known as private label securities, are fundamentally different from those underwritten by the GSEs, which imposed standardized quality controls over the entire mortgage lending process. Private label securities were neither standardized, nor were they subject to prudent credit controls, which is why they have incurred 60% of all mortgage defaults, and why they are difficult to value or trade.
Private-Label Residential Mortgage Securities [$ trillions as of Dec. 31]
2000 $0.5
2003 $0.6
2007 $2.1
Source: Federal Reserve
Of course, the Federal government also guarantees bank deposits (bank liabilities) which do not show up in the Federal Reserve numbers shown above. The safety of those deposits is also dependent on the recovery of mortgage loans directly or indirectly held by financial institutions. There's a simple rule of thumb to remember about the banks' ability to lend. For every dollar reduction in bank equity, a bank's lending capability is reduced by at least ten dollars. So if banks lose a trillion dollars from defaulting mortgage loans, their ability to lend is reduced by $10 trillion.
Home mortgage debt increased with the real estate bubble. While the connection would seem obvious, it's worth noting that the bubble was concentrated in some markets - especially in California and Florida - and not others. There was never much of a post-millennium bubble in Texas or Colorado, for instance. The Case-Schiller Housing Index is a user-friendly tool for tracking what happened over the past 20 years. It uses a January 2000 benchmark price of 100.00, further simplified here as 1.0.
With 1.0 as the January 2000 starting point, we can compare benchmark prices as of December 2003, before mortgage underwriting standards were weakened. Then we can see how, in the top 10 of the 20 markets listed below, the bubble inflated prices by June 2006.
Case-Schiller Housing Index
2009-03-09-Picture3.png
In just over 30 months, near the peak in the bubble around June 2006, home prices had risen in Miami and Phoenix by about 75%. By December 2008, index prices, the most recent available, had essentially returned to the same levels seen at year-end 2003.
If you're someone like Rick Santelli, who lives in the Chicago area where the bubble was fairly contained, you may be inclined to think that the problem is limited to a small number of reckless individual borrowers. Those with a firmer grasp of the financial markets know otherwise.
The real estate bubble affects everyone. Most home purchases were made by people with good credit who took out standard prime loans after paying 20% down. The real estate bubble affects those people and the entire financial system, not just people who took out mortgages they could not afford. Using the Case-Schiller Index as a benchmark, anyone who took out a mortgage with 20% down during 2005 though 2007 in the top ten markets listed above now has negative-equity. His home is worth less than his mortgage. Distressed homeowners in those markets may ask the question, "Should I hand over the keys and walk away?"
And many people financed more than 80% of the appraised value. Many people, especially in California, financed up to 100% of their home's purchase price with 2nd lien financing. Those subordinate loans probably have a value that's close to zero. In late 2004 a different type of subordinate financing of residential mortgages took off, in the form of collateralized debt obligations, or CDOs. The current market value for a lot of those CDOs is also approaching zero.
Another form of 2nd lien financing was home equity lines of credit, which, as Alex Blumberg reported on This American Life, some homeowners used "because people needed them to continue making their original mortgage payments." [Every American should listen to "The Giant Pool of Money."]
According to Economy.com, about 10% of homeowners have zero or negative equity.
The real estate bubble inflated where exotic mortgages were popular. At the height of the real estate bubble in the summer of 2006, the FDIC did a study which examined the impact of new exotic mortgage products, which began to take off in 2004. While the subprime mortgage business had been around for a while, innovative features - such as interest-only or negative amortization - only came into common use in late 2004.
Subprime Mortgages With
The following Features

2009-03-09-Picture4.png

The FDIC study found a correlation between the popularity of interest-only or negative amortization features in non-prime mortgages and the price appreciation in local real estate markets.
2009-03-09-Picture5.png
Subprime mortgages took off after 2004. Subprime mortgages had been around for a long time. But their popularity took off in late 2004. Most subprime mortgages were issued after 2004, according to a survey by the New York Federal Reserve.
2009-03-09-Picture6.png
Subprime mortgages were not used primarily for new home purchases.
One of the familiar media narratives is that subprime loans were used as part of a government policy to make home ownership affordable to low-income people. But in fact most subprime loans were used to refinance existing mortgages, and not for new home purchases. And most of those refinancings were also used by home owners to take out more cash from their home equity. The cash-out may have been used to pay down credit card debt.
2009-03-09-Picture7.png
Many people who would have qualified for a traditional prime mortgage took out a subprime mortgage instead, based on the recommendation of mortgage brokers, who earned bigger upfront fees from the subprime product.

A big percentage of subprime mortgages had inadequate documentation. It's easy to engage in mortgage fraud if you don't need to prove your income or your net worth. And the proliferation of "no income, no asset" mortgage loans did just that. It was an invitation to fraud. This product was most popular in California and Florida.
2009-03-09-Picture9.png

Most subprime mortgages had adjustable rates. Most subprime mortgages had low introductory interest rates that reset after a few years. Often, when the rates were reset, homeowners discovered they were no longer able to afford the monthly payments.
Subprime Mortgages With
Adjustable Interest Rates

Arizona 73%
California 69%
Florida 65%
Nevada 68%
Wash., D.C. 68%
U.S. 61%
The foregoing numbers put Hank Paulson's diagnosis in a proper context. They also debunk a variety of right-wing media narratives. Specifically, according to the numbers:
1. The mortgage problem has reached a magnitude that dwarfs the amounts of money spent elsewhere in the government sector. Dismissing the bailout as a "big government program" misses the point, given the amounts at stake in terms of global financial stability.
2. The mortgage problem extends far beyond subprime borrowers. Many prime borrowers now have negative equity in their homes.
3. The subprime problem reached a critical mass between 2003 and 2006, when the Republicans controlled the White House and Congress and did nothing. If you suggest that both parties are comparably deserving of blame, you are ignoring the salient data. [The well is also poisoned by the Swiftboating of prominent Democrats, such as Barney Frank and Chris Dodd, who fought hard to address the issue in the face of Republican footdragging.]
4. The rise in subprime lending from 2003 onward was not driven by government policies designed to make home ownership more affordable to low-income Americans or to stop redlining by banks. It was driven by innovative mortgage products, such as interest-only or negative amortization loans, and by the rise in the market for private label mortgage securities. Most subprime mortgages were not used for new home purchases.
The Bottom Line: Job 1 for every mortgage lender is the preservation of the value of the real estate collateral. Like it or not, this is now Job 1 for the federal government. In the context of what is at stake, Obama's $275 billion plan for arresting the downward spiral of foreclosures seems fairly modest. But clearly, the job is too important and too pressing to be disrupted by cranks like Darrell Issa, who recently joined Barney Frank's House Committee on Financial Services.

. . . .Outta here for today. Kiss your kids, tell the ones you love out loud that you do. Seize the precious moments with an open hand; change your own world and in so doing change the larger world around you.
. . . This rodeo is only a one-way ticket, no one gets out alive, and we don't get to dictate the terms and conditions of how the ticket gets punched. It's about right here, right now. Do something.

The Desolation Angel
[Where: Undadilla, Michigan 48137]

09 March 2009

Monday (Rolling on down the line)

Monday March 9, 2009

. . . . .
Right off the bat and diving right into it today, the President signed an executive order reversing the ban on Federal funding for stem-cell research. Personally, I believe that my Creator wants us to use our gifts, our intelligence and our natural talent to help heal others. Stem cell research promises new breakthroughs in spinal cord injuries, Parkinson's, MS, MD, Cancer, Diabetes and a host of other diseases. It's the right thing to do.

. . . . .
Just as important, alongside the restoration of federal funding for stem cells, he signed an executive memorandum that, to me, was the strongest rebuke yet of the Bush era and it's policies, in fact, stronger than closing Guantanamo, or outlawing torture again. The memorandum says that scientific research should not, and will not, be influenced by politics or policy. Let me repeat that, the findings of scientific research will not be, and should not be influenced by politics or policy, even when the results of the research are troubling, inconvenient or uncomfortable. With the signing of this memorandum, President Obama has overturned the war on science, intelligence and intellectual thought that was continually prosecuted by Bush and his White House team.

. . . .To go along with that, an issue that I've paid short shrift to for the last couple of weeks as the economic crisis rightfully dominates the news cycle, is climate change. This administration and this Congress seem to have it in their sights, despite the focus on the fundamentals of the economy. Rep. Henry Waxman leads the House charge on this, and quoting from an article in Politico this morning:
House Energy and Commerce Chairman Henry A. Waxman, a longtime champion of more stringent environmental standards, is quietly dominating the climate debate even though there are other chairmen with skin in the game.

Waxman kicked off his chairmanship earlier this year with a hearing on the issue, and he now plans to hold at least two hearings a week until he rolls out a comprehensive overhaul of the country’s environmental policy before the Memorial Day weekend.
. . . . . .From the U.K. Independent yesterday, "Carbon cuts only give the Earth a 50/50 chance of survival" -

The world's best efforts at combating climate change are likely to offer no more than a 50-50 chance of keeping temperature rises below the threshold of disaster, according to research from the UK Met Office.

The key aim of holding the expected increase to 2C, beyond which damage to the natural world and to human society is likely to be catastrophic, is far from assured, the research suggests, even if all countries engage forthwith in a radical and enormous crash programme to slash greenhouse gas emissions – something which itself is by no means guaranteed.

. . . . .And this piece of research news, another piece of inconvenient, uncomfortable news that the former White House occupant chose to ignore:

PARIS (AFP) – Ocean acidification driven by climate change is stripping away the protective shell of tiny yet vital organisms that absorb huge amounts of carbon pollution from the atmosphere, a new study has revealed.

Since the start of the Industrial Revolution, the calcium carapace of microscopic animals called foraminifera living in the Southern Ocean have fallen in weight by a third, the study found.

The amoeba-like organisms, about the size of a grain of sand, live in the surface waters of oceans around the world.

They are an important part of the ecological chain and also provide a bulwark against global warming.

They transform carbon dioxide (CO2) from the air into calcium-based shells. When they die, their carbon-rich shells sink to the ocean floor, effectively storing the atmospheric CO2 forever.

Previous studies have shown that other marine animals, notably corals, are losing their ability to form exoskeletons from calcium.

. . . . .Back to financial crisis, Paul Krugman, whom I am sure, if you read last week's columns at all, know as a non-partisan Nobel-prize winning economist whose work and research I greatly admire, turned this one for the New York Times in today on their op-ed page:
President Obama’s plan to stimulate the economy was “massive,” “giant,” “enormous.” So the American people were told, especially by TV news, during the run-up to the stimulus vote. Watching the news, you might have thought that the only question was whether the plan was too big, too ambitious.

Yet many economists, myself included, actually argued that the plan was too small and too cautious. The latest data confirm those worries — and suggest that the Obama administration’s economic policies are already falling behind the curve.

To see how bad the numbers are, consider this: The administration’s budget proposals, released less than two weeks ago, assumed an average unemployment rate of 8.1 percent for the whole of this year. In reality, unemployment hit that level in February — and it’s rising fast.

Employment has already fallen more in this recession than in the 1981-82 slump, considered the worst since the Great Depression. As a result, Mr. Obama’s promise that his plan will create or save 3.5 million jobs by the end of 2010 looks underwhelming, to say the least. It’s a credible promise — his economists used solidly mainstream estimates of the impacts of tax and spending policies. But 3.5 million jobs almost two years from now isn’t enough in the face of an economy that has already lost 4.4 million jobs, and is losing 600,000 more each month.

There are now three big questions about economic policy. First, does the administration realize that it isn’t doing enough? Second, is it prepared to do more? Third, will Congress go along with stronger policies?

On the first two questions, I found Mr. Obama’s latest interview with The Times anything but reassuring.

“Our belief and expectation is that we will get all the pillars in place for recovery this year,” the president declared — a belief and expectation that isn’t backed by any data or model I’m aware of. To be sure, leaders are supposed to sound calm and in control. But in the face of the dismal data, this remark sounded out of touch.

And there was no hint in the interview of readiness to do more.

A real fix for the troubles of the banking system might help make up for the inadequate size of the stimulus plan, so it was good to hear that Mr. Obama spends at least an hour each day with his economic advisors, “talking through how we are approaching the financial markets.” But he went on to dismiss calls for decisive action as coming from “blogs” (actually, they’re coming from many other places, including at least one president of a Federal Reserve bank), and suggested that critics want to “nationalize all the banks” (something nobody is proposing).

As I read it, this dismissal — together with the continuing failure to announce any broad plans for bank restructuring — means that the White House has decided to muddle through on the financial front, relying on economic recovery to rescue the banks rather than the other way around. And with the stimulus plan too small to deliver an economic recovery ... well, you get the picture.

Sooner or later the administration will realize that more must be done. But when it comes back for more money, will Congress go along?

Republicans are now firmly committed to the view that we should do nothing to respond to the economic crisis, except cut taxes — which they always want to do regardless of circumstances. If Mr. Obama comes back for a second round of stimulus, they’ll respond not by being helpful, but by claiming that his policies have failed.

The broader public, by contrast, favors strong action. According to a recent Newsweek poll, a majority of voters supports the stimulus, and, more surprisingly, a plurality believes that additional spending will be necessary. But will that support still be there, say, six months from now?

Also, an overwhelming majority believes that the government is spending too much to help large financial institutions. This suggests that the administration’s money-for-nothing financial policy will eventually deplete its political capital.

So here’s the picture that scares me: It’s September 2009, the unemployment rate has passed 9 percent, and despite the early round of stimulus spending it’s still headed up. Mr. Obama finally concedes that a bigger stimulus is needed.

But he can’t get his new plan through Congress because approval for his economic policies has plummeted, partly because his policies are seen to have failed, partly because job-creation policies are conflated in the public mind with deeply unpopular bank bailouts. And as a result, the recession rages on, unchecked.

O.K., that’s a warning, not a prediction. But economic policy is falling behind the curve, and there’s a real, growing danger that it will never catch up.
. . . .My problem with the Right Wing, with the Republicans and their de facto leader Rush Limbaugh is this. They have become the party of "NO". They do not offer alternatives to stimulus packages, to the bank bailouts, they simply say "No, Obama is wrong, and he's a Socialist". That's not a plan folks, that's not an answer to what even the blindest, most ignorant person can see is clearly a crisis that is occurring now, right now, to everyone. And what we need right now, right fuckin' now, is a plan, a clear strategy. I don't care if it's off the mark a little, I go with what my dead old Dad always used to say. "Do something, anything at all, it's a lot easier to turn a boat in another direction if it's moving, than if it's standing still." True that, every try to get a dead still rowboat turned in another direction? It's a hell of lot harder than altering course in one that's already moving.

. . . . . . Along those lines, I congratulate Budget Director Peter Orszag for his appearances yesterday on the Sunday talk shows, where he took the GOP on head-on, in confrontational fashion, and basically told them to put up or shut up:
“I would urge you to invite the Republicans on this show and ask for their specifics, and then compare them head-to-head,” Orszag told John King, anchor of CNN’s “State of the Union.”

“Because we are proposing a change in course in which we are not only fiscally responsible, but we are investing in education, we are investing in energy, and we're investing in health care.” Orszag also declared: “We've been down a path that has not been working. We're proposing a change in course. And with regard to the criticisms, it's almost like, as Ronald Reagan said, 'there they go again.'”
. . . . .Outta here for the morning, kiss your kids, tell the ones you love out loud that you do, seize the precious moments with an open hand, and change your own world, in so doing, you change the world around you.

. . . . This rodeo is a one-way ticket, no one gets out alive, and none of us gets to dictate terms and conditions on how the ticket gets punched, so it's about the right here and the right now, do something with it.

The Desolation Angel
[where: Unadilla, MI 48137]

07 March 2009

Saturday March 7th (Weekend Edition)

Lo, I see my Father before me, I see my Mother, I see my brothers and sisters, I see my entire family, waiting to welcome me home to Valhalla!

. . . . . .Good Saturday or Sunday to you all, depending on which day you read this. Remember on Sunday morning that Daylight Savings Time kicks in and set your clocks ahead.

. . . . .Today's surprise, there's two videos at the end of the column. One is President Obama's weekly Saturday address, it's a pretty good one, where he talks about the budget that was rolled out, and ending the "no-bid" Governmental contract process. The other is Bill Maher from last night, in one of the most jaw-dropping, surprising, live television monologues I've heard in a long time that concisely sums up the good that Government does in it's role in our everyday lives. To listen to them and watch them without interference from the Podcast or cross-talk, go all the way to very bottom of the page, look for the podcast, go to the narrow horizontal bar, go to the three green buttons on the left hand side, click the middle one, pause the podcast, watch and listen to the videos, then go back to the podcaster, click the same button again and enjoy the music! It's pretty simple.

. . . . . .Cultural note of importance (to me). Steve Earle is finishing up work on his latest effort. It's a 15 track CD of Townes Van Zandt music. Townes, one of the best of the Texas songwriters, was a good friend to Steve and hung with him through all of his worst times, getting cleaned up, etc. The CD, tentatively Townes, explores that catalog and allows Steve to honor his friend, now gone. It should be released in May/June. Steve will be the opening act for Jackson Browne on his upcoming spring/summer tour, that should be one hell of a show. Think Townes wasn't a good friend to Steve? Steve's son is named Justin Townes Earle, think about that one. Speaking of that, if you get a chance, check out Justin's newest CD, like father, like son, one hell of musician.

. . . . .I need to take some time this morning to kind of bring things together from the last two weeks, and we all need to take a collective breath. What's going on in the world is dizzying, to say the least, and we all need to remember that our new President has only been in office 46 days. Think about that, 46 days! At times, the presidency of George W. Bush seems like ancient history, that's how fast Obama has acted, and how much energy he's put behind it, and also, how large and consuming the current crisis facing us is.

. . . . .One other reason for going in depth today is the constant attacks from the Republicans and the Right Wing and their leader, Rush Limbaugh. They are lying, pure and simple, and whipping up hysteria against a President whose popular support is unprecendented. The only way, that we as a people can support this Presidency and the change it represents is to be armed with facts, and as dry and academic as it may seem, it's important to be able to speak intelligently and provide a factual basis for discussions with those who are caught up in the Right Wing hysteria.

. . . . . .I understand people's outrage and anger at "the bill being left for our children and grandchildren", and how overwhelming it must seem. I do, I have sons in their 20's, and I know that the size of the deficit, the bill being left for them is mind-boggling, but I think there's a couple of factors in play here -
(1) The anger from the Bush years is finally spilling over, and people have nowhere to direct it except at the White House - and
(2) The actual size of the problem, after being hidden for so long, by the past administration is frightening, to say the least.

. . . . . Given that, I've done my homework. Yes, it does seem insane to throw that much money at the problem, between bailout, stimulus package and homeowner relief. But, remember that we willingly (the collective we, as a Nation) threw $6 billion a month at Iraq for 7 years without question. We allowed former Treasury Secretary Paulson to hand out the first half of the bailout, over $300 billion, without question and it is only now that Congress, Geithner and Summers are starting to find out where that lump sum went, and it sure wasn't to help the toxic banks.

. . . . . .So, spent some time doing some research with non-partisan economists and academics and what they're written so far, minus the political posturing. I don't like it either, but their conclusions are universal, the President, Congress and the Administration have to act and, act now. In fact, in the opinion of many of them, the actions taken so far don't go far enough! The problem is that large, that only a large entity, like a National government can do anything about it.

. . . . . . .I understand the philosophy of so many, that they've worked hard and are riding this storm out, albeit a little tighter, and why worry about large institutions, about people who bought more house than they can afford? Yes, it all could collapse tomorrow and many of us would survive, we'd learn to barter, and many of us do quite well in the cash-only underground economy, but allowing all the banks to fail, the market to fail and all the houses to be repossessed would be an irreversible, life-changing event. I was talking with Tom Summerlin at lunch yesterday and he posited this, and it made sense "If the electrical grid failed tomorrow, and stayed down, it would fundamentally change the way we live, if the public utilities failed tomorrow, it would change the way we live. If all the banks and markets fail, it would fundamentally change the way we live, forever". I agree with him, the true problem with that, as I see it, is the number of innocent people who be irreparably, irrevocably, critically harmed by that situation. We have many, many people in this country living on a knife edge as it is, I use the figure constantly, 12 million kids will go to be hungry tonight. That type of collapse, of the banks, and the markets, would kill millions. We can't afford to have that on our conscience.


. . . . .This didn't just start 8 years ago with Bush and deregulation. I remember very clearly my university professor in economics (Glen Moots, God Bless him, a brilliant man. I was fortunate enough to obtain my degree from the only Libertarian-philosophy based university in America at that time, Northwood. Since that time, there's a second, Hillsdale. Hmmm! Both in Michigan) going absolutely ballistic about trickle-down Reaganomics. The Laffer curve, upon which trickle-down Reaganomics was built, was drawn by a disgraced economist (named Laffer, of course) on a country club cocktail napkin. You can find it in the Reagan library archives. It started then, and continued through Carter, Bush and Clinton. Anyone remember Ross Perot running for President and "that sucking sound is the sound of jobs heading South" as Perot warned then about the demise of American manufacturing and the wholesale flight of factories and jobs to cheaper countries, railing against NAFTA? Reagan started the deregulatory process, followed by Bush, all reversing Keynesian policy that had been in effect since Eisenhower, Truman and Kennedy.

. . . . .OK, quick college economics brush-up here. Adam Smith, back in the 1700's, in The Wealth of Nations, posited the "invisible hand" moving the market. What people desired would be profitable to make and sell, if you did it well, and what was harmful, or people didn't want would die a "natural" Darwinian death. John Maynard Keynes came along, and said, OK, that's all fine and well, in an ideal world. We don't live in an ideal world, we live in a human world, and over time, natural human tendencies like greed and avarice will kick in for those in charge, and therefore some form of outside, governmental regulation is necessary and must happen to protect people, the markets, the economy and the Nation.

. . . . .Bush and Clinton continued the manufacturing flight, pushing and promoting NAFTA even further. By that point, due to Reagan's groundbreaking union-busting of the air traffic controllers, organized labor was now starting to show some chinks in it's armor.

. . . . .I belonged to unions all the way up into my 30's. I was fortunate enough to belong to the I.B.E.W. by the time I was 20, and had to take several organized labor classes as part of my apprenticeship, and got the history of unions. At the time, they were absolutely a necessity (and in many cases still are, and the current economic situation may bring their relevance back to the forefront). The unions, when the first formed, primarily acted to protect worker's lives, health and safety. In the 20's and 30's working in a factory or a mine was almost a sure ticket to death or serious injury. The company's philosophy at that point in time was simple, get another worker. After the war, it was the unions, who basically built the middle class in this country and gave us the post-War baby boom economy. Yes, at this point in time, the unions have lost their focus and direction, but remember Keynes above and his theories? On top of that, the Universe is self-correcting, and the union's focus on protecting their members will come back.

. . . . . .Anyhow, that brings us up to "what" happened here recently.

. . . . . .We talk so much about the financial crisis, stimulus, bailout, nationalization of banks, etc. that it sometimes is easy to lose sight of just exactly what is happening and why it's happening, and why it's important. David Fiderer put together a brilliant little precis as to what happened, in order, to lead us to this point:

"CNBC's David Faber confirmed that the problems all occurred during the Bush Administration. "There was a precipitous drop in [residential mortgage] lending standards that took place in this country... from 2003 until 2006," Faber told Charlie Rose. "Wall Street [] became a much larger player in those securitization markets, beginning in 2003 right through 2006. They did not apply the same lending standards that did Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to originators, and that is where the balance shifted significantly..."

Why was there a drop in lending standards? Several reasons:

The rating agencies stopped performing independent analysis of mortgage pools. In March 2001, Standard & Poor's started rating real state investments without first going through the analytic review process. As reported by Bloomberg, S&P and Moody's would rely on each other's analysis and "substituted theoretical mathematic assumptions for the experience and judgment of their own analysts. Regulators found that Moody's and S&P also didn't have enough people and didn't adequately monitor the thousands of fixed-income securities they were grading AAA."

Then, in August 2004, reports Bloomberg, Moody's took another step to subvert the independent ratings process. It removed the diversification criteria used for rating collateralized debt obligations, or CDOs. Subprime mortgage CDOs, of which about 3/4 were rated AAA, took off.

The investment community's reliance on AAA ratings cannot be overestimated. Although bankers and regulators are obligated to do independent analyses, they still tend to reference the agencies' opinions as a benchmark. Trillions of dollars of AAA securities were held by banks and others in the belief that they would pay out at close to par.

In 2003 the Bush Administration opened the floodgates to predatory lenders.

"Not only did the Bush administration do nothing to protect consumers, it embarked on an aggressive and unprecedented campaign to prevent states from protecting their residents from the very problems to which the federal government was turning a blind eye...[though] the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC).


"In 2003, during the height of the predatory lending crisis, the OCC invoked a clause from the 1863 National Bank Act to issue formal opinions preempting all state predatory lending laws, thereby rendering them inoperative. The OCC also promulgated new rules that prevented states from enforcing any of their own consumer protection laws against national banks. The federal government's actions were so egregious and so unprecedented that all 50 state attorneys general, and all 50 state banking superintendents, actively fought the new rules...But the unanimous opposition of the 50 states did not deter, or even slow, the Bush administration in its goal of protecting the banks." "Predatory Lenders' Partner in Crime," By Eliot Spitzer, The Washington Post, February 14, 2008

As for unregulated mortgage lenders, Greenspan ignored his duty to provide regulatory oversight. In the aftermath of the S&L crisis, unregulated lenders were becoming a major force in mortgage lending, so in 1994 the Democratic congress passed the Home Ownership and Equity Protection Act (HOEPA) directing the Federal Reserve protect the public against predatory lenders. Greenspan, warned repeatedly about the problem, refused to do anything.

How did the drop in lending standards play out?

Fraud and predatory lending took off. The primary participants of the fraud, the mortgage brokers and mortgage lenders, were not subject to any real regulatory oversight. Consumers went to mortgage brokers, who got bigger upfront fees from steering their customers to subprime mortgages. The loans were issued by mortgage lenders like Countrywide Financial, which then packaged and sold the loans to investment banks. Because there were no protections against predatory lending, consumers got mortgage loans that they could not afford to repay. Loans had teaser rates of 3% for the first two or three years, before the monthly payments doubled or tripled.

Banks relied on AAA ratings and credit default swaps. The subprime mortgage pools were sliced and diced into mortgage securities that were sold to various investors. About 80% of the securities were rated AAA by S&P or Moody's, and a huge chunk of those securities were held by American and European banks. Why? Bankers thought if a bond is rated AAA, they could always sell it at something close to par. Also, residential home values had held up fairly well during the Great Depression. Finally, because of rules related to regulatory capital, the mortgage bonds received a lower weighting on mortgage securities than on ordinary corporate loans.

The real estate bubble burst and bond prices collapsed. Most subprime mortgages were extended for 80% of the appraised value, but many home buyers in California and elsewhere financed 100% of their home purchase.

Because so many people were buying homes they could not afford, market discipline was lost. California, Florida, Nevada and Arizona experienced a real estate bubble. When the bubble collapsed, almost everyone who bought a home in those markets from 2005 onward saw their home equity wiped out.

Three years after private label mortgage securities took off, they started collapsing. Because of the non-standard documentation, the suspicion of underlying fraud, and the difficulty in restructuring the loans with the borrowers, the securities became very difficult to value and market for them dried up.

How did this steady deterioration suddenly become a global financial meltdown? The two-word answer is Hank Paulson.

9/12 Changed Everything. On September 12, 2008, just as Lehman entered into final negotiations to find a buyer, Hank Paulson announced that the government would not backstop Lehman's solvency. What was the difference between Lehman and Bear Sterns, or between Lehman and the other banks? The prices of mortgage securities had declined since the Bear Stearns bailout, so the level of government support for Lehman would have been higher. Also, Lehman's fiscal quarter ended one month earlier than the other banks, so the magnitude of its problems was disclosed before those of other banks.

Paulson's refusal to support Lehman was extraordinarily reckless, because there was no transparency in the financial markets, given that vast amounts of money tied up in hedge funds and credit default swaps. Markets became destabilized right after Lehman declared bankruptcy on September 15, 2008.

Lehman suddenly defaulted on 900,000 derivatives, hedge fund assets were frozen, and countless hedged positions suddenly became unhedged. Nobody knew who was solvent and who was not. The different capital markets started freezing up in succession: the interbank lending market, money market funds, the commercial paper market. Banks cut back on extending trade letters of credit, thereby slowing down shipping and the trade of raw materials around the world, and further pushing down commodity prices. Global trade declined for the first time since World War II.

Paulson's TARP bait and switch. To stabilize the markets, Congress forked over $700 billion to Paulson, who then gave the banks another sucker punch on November 12, one week after Obama was elected. Paulson said he would not apply TARP funds to help abate the foreclosure crisis, and the prices of mortgage securities plunged further, effectively forcing the largest banks into insolvency."


. . . . . .Paul Krugman, an independent non-partisan Nobel-prize winning economist, put a piece together for this weeks' Rolling Stone (yes, Rolling Stone, it's why I read everything, from Time, Newsweek, The Economist to Rolling Stone) that does a brilliant job of explaining the "why" behind President's Obama's and the White House's stimulus packages, troubled homeowner relief and bailouts, and goes so far as to say he probably didn't go far enough! I'm going to quote liberally from it:

If these were normal times, it would be ludicrous to issue a report card on the Obama administration's economic policies. Only a few weeks have passed since the new president was sworn in, and many important economic positions have yet to be filled. As some wags put it, we're still at the stage when officials are trying to find their way to the bathroom.

But these aren't normal times. Barack Obama took office in the midst of the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression, a crisis requiring immediate action. Indeed, some people, myself included, had hoped that the outgoing Bush administration would work with the incoming team, allowing Obama to take action before moving into the White House. But it soon became clear that as Obama tries to deal with the crisis, he will get no help from Republican leaders. Instead, he'll face obstruction and lies.

So our new president is on his own, scrambling to meet a crisis that is far worse now than it was when he won the 2008 election. How's he doing?

The short answer is, very well by any normal standard — especially when you compare it with what a McCain–Palin administration would have done. Indeed, not since FDR has a new president moved so aggressively on the economic front.

But the current economic disaster demands even more aggressive action than Obama has taken so far. What's truly scary is the breadth of the crisis. What began as a housing bust mutated into an implosion of the entire financial system. What began as a recession centered in the United States has gone global, with industrial production plummeting from Ukraine to Japan. Falling home and stock prices have wiped out a decade of savings, and consumers have slashed spending in a way they didn't in previous recessions. Losses from the housing bust and debt defaults have crippled the banking system; the resulting credit squeeze, in turn, has worsened the housing bust and fueled a sharp fall in business investment. And exports are plunging too, as the slump spreads around the world.

As a result, we're staring into the abyss: Without an effective response by the government, there's no telling how deep this slump might go. To promote more spending, the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates to almost zero and has vastly expanded its activities, financing everything from assets backed by credit-card debt to the operations of insurance companies. But while these efforts may have eased the credit crunch somewhat, they have been nowhere near enough to turn the economy around.

There are, broadly speaking, three things the federal government can do to address this kind of economic crisis.

First, the government can offer help to victims of the crisis, with the goal of diminishing the suffering. This help can take a number of forms, from expanding unemployment benefits to rewriting mortgage terms.

Second, the government can act to support the overall level of spending in the economy, either by spending money itself or by giving money to individuals or businesses and hoping that they'll spend it.

Third, the government can step in to rescue and sustain key institutions crippled by the crisis — especially banks, whose continuing ability to lend is crucial to the economy.

From the start, the Obama administration proposed a stimulus that was at the low end of what independent economists thought was necessary and was relatively heavy on tax cuts. This seems to have been done in the hope of gaining broad bipartisan support: According to news reports from early January, Obama aides hoped they might get as many as 80 votes in the Senate.

Instead, Republicans rejected Obama's overtures en masse. Not a single Republican in the House voted for the plan. In the Senate, 36 out of 41 Republicans voted for the DeMint amendment, which would have scrapped all of the spending provisions and replaced the whole thing with permanent tax cuts.

To listen to critics on the right, the stimulus was a terrible idea. First, they claimed that it was filled with pork — but in order to make that claim, they had to denounce things that were not, in fact, in the bill. An aide to John Boehner, the House minority leader, claimed the stimulus would spend $30 million protecting a marsh mouse near Nancy Pelosi's district; no such provision was in the bill. Boehner and other Republicans insisted it would spend $8 billion on a high–speed rail link between Los Angeles and Las Vegas; no, it wouldn't. In a way, the apparent need of Republicans to invent wasteful spending out of thin air was a demonstration of how clean the bill really is: They obviously couldn't find enough real waste to complain about.

Second, Republicans claimed that the bill will impose huge costs on future generations — that it's "generational theft," as Sen. John McCain put it. Now, the U.S. government does indeed have a long–term fiscal problem. Recent estimates by the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center put the long–run "fiscal gap" — the difference between spending and revenue under current policy — at between four and six percent of GDP. But the cost of the stimulus will add only slightly to that gap — around 0.12 percent of GDP. That's nothing compared to policy initiatives that Republicans in Congress enthusiastically supported over the past eight years. The Bush tax cuts will ultimately cost at least $2 trillion; the Iraq War at least $1 trillion. The stimulus will be a much smaller burden, especially when you bear in mind that by helping the economy, it will also raise tax receipts, offsetting at least a third of the measure's cost.

But anyway, all the stuff about burdening future generations is pure hypocrisy. The tax cuts in the DeMint amendment, which was supported by 36 Republicans — including McCain, the self–proclaimed opponent of "generational theft" — would have cost $3.1 trillion over the next 10 years. That's four times as much as the Obama stimulus.

One last line of attack was the claim that fiscal stimulus, in principle, simply can't work. You hear this from conservative "experts" like Brian Riedl of the Heritage Foundation, who declares, "Every dollar Congress injects into the economy must first be taxed or borrowed out of the economy. You're not creating new demand, you're just transferring it from one group of people to another." Borrowing from domestic lenders, the argument goes, cuts into the money available for investments; borrowing from foreigners curbs exports.

What's wrong with this claim? The answer lies in the very nature of our economic crisis. When the economy is at or near full employment, government spending does indeed come at the expense of private spending. But right now, we're suffering from a problem known as the "paradox of thrift" — everyone is trying to save more at the same time, even as investment demand is falling. Those vast quantities of potential savings — from consumers, corporations and institutional investors — have nowhere to go. By borrowing that excess money and using it to finance temporary budget deficits, the government can put it to good use, helping to sustain the economy. In a crisis like this, government spending is actually a way of getting unemployed resources working again.

So far, obama has taken sensible action on homeowner relief, and sensible but probably inadequate action on fiscal stimulus. What about the third type of action, rescuing financial institutions? At the time of writing, the Obama administration had announced what it said was a plan — but nobody knew what it meant. And thereby hangs a tale. Banks, broadly defined — which include many institutions that don't have big marble buildings and rows of tellers but nonetheless fulfill banking functions — play a crucial role in the economy. Yet major U.S. banks have suffered heavy losses in this crisis, leaving them severely undercapitalized if not insolvent. What that means, in English, is that big banks don't have enough assets to be sure of paying their debts — which in turn means that nobody wants to deal with them, for fear that they won't be repaid. As a result, our financial system is half–crippled.

To help the economy, the government needs to get the banks back on their feet. But how should that be done? Some proposals call for having the government buy troubled assets, like mortgage–backed securities, from the banks — but this only helps the banks if the government pays much higher prices for these assets than private investors are willing to offer, which means that taxpayers get a raw deal and the banks get a huge windfall. Or the government could guarantee the banks against large losses — but this, again, is a raw deal for taxpayers and a gift to the banks. And we're talking about a lot of money here: Some estimates put the losses of U.S. banks in this crisis at more than $1.5 trillion.

There is one more option, however. The government could put money into the banks in return for a commensurate share of ownership. What that would mean in practice, for at least some of the biggest banks, would be nationalization. Think of it this way: Citigroup and Bank of America probably need hundreds of billions of dollars in additional capital, yet as of February 26th, their combined stock–market value was less than $40 billion — and even that figure was inflated by the lingering hope of receiving a government handout. There's really no way for the government to inject the capital these banks need without either providing that handout, on a grand scale, or taking ownership itself.

A number of people have followed this line of thought to its natural conclusion — including some people whose names might surprise you. Maybe it's no big deal that Sen. Chris Dodd of Connecticut has said that temporary nationalization may be necessary, but so has Sen. Charles Schumer of New York, usually a defender of the investment industry — and so has none other than Alan Greenspan.

Why the hesitation? The bankers themselves, not surprisingly, insist that a government takeover would be a terrible idea. And then there are the cries of "socialism" coming from the usual suspects, along with assertions that governments do a very bad job of running banks. Actually, as many of us have pointed out, the lesson of the past few years is that bankers do a very bad job of running banks — it was the private sector, not the government, that lost all that money. And in an important sense, the banks are already socialized: They're getting lots of government money, and the government has made it clear that they won't be allowed to fail. In effect, the government already owns their possible losses; why shouldn't it own their possible gains?

But anyway, talk of socialism deliberately misses the point. Nobody involved in the rescue plan wants the government running banks on a permanent basis. The idea, instead, is to do what is routinely done with smaller banks when they go bust and are seized by the FDIC: The government takes them into temporary receivership and cleans up their balance sheets — taking over their bad assets and paying off enough of their debts so that what's left is a viable enterprise. Then the bank is re– privatized, and the government gets the best price it can for the troubled assets. That's what Sweden did in the early 1990s, in what is widely regarded as a success story. It's also what we ourselves did with failed savings–and–loan institutions at the end of the 1980s; the Resolution Trust Corporation, which took over the troubled assets, is almost always cited as a good example of how to resolve a banking crisis while getting the best possible deal for the taxpayers.

This could all change quickly. One part of Geithner's plan that seems comprehensible is his call for a "stress test" on major banks: Government auditors would study their books to determine whether they are viable. This could be turned into a Claude Rains moment, in which the Obama administration declares itself shocked — shocked! — to find that several giant banks are insolvent, leaving no choice except temporary government receivership.

The truth is that there aren't any non–radical solutions to the banking crisis. The only way to resolve the crisis without nationalization would be a huge giveaway of taxpayer money, and that's impossible both fiscally and politically.

So the result of the Obama administration's caution is that the banking crisis remains unresolved. As long as government aid is perceived as a handout to bankers (because it is), that aid will be deeply unpopular. The result will be a banking system that, while being kept by government aid from outright collapse, has too little capital to provide the economy with the credit it needs. That's what people mean when they talk about "zombie banks" — they're still walking around, but they're too crippled to fulfill their proper role. And we know from Japan's experience in the "lost decade" of the 1990s that zombie banks can stifle economic recovery, even if the government spends heavily on fiscal stimulus.

. . . . .By now, I hope that at least, I've made some cogent, clear points as to why I support the President and what honestly, are some rather distasteful, long-term answers to the current financial crisis, and how important it is that we act. How important? Most people have been avoiding the news, but one look at some figures says everything. The total figure since September alone of jobs lost is 5 million. That does not include jobs lost since the "Recession" officially started in December of '07. Total, with that length of time included, it's over 7 million jobs lost. The second set of figures comes from the market yesterday: Citigroup closed at $1.03 a share yesterday, 3 cents away from being de-listed off the exchange. GM closed at $1.45 a share. For those of us who are baby-boomers, those two stocks alone tell a story, imagine that price per share for those two major instituions as we grew up? Oil closed at $45 a barrel yesterday on it's 6 month future, while only 90 days ago it was still cruising along at $140 a barrel, and oil is a commodity traded as a futures contract, that is speculators look ahead 6 months a to a year, and they aren't seeing good things.

. . . . . .There are things we can do, I hope you've read this far, and have armed yourself with a few more facts as to what's going on, and why it's important to support our President and he becomes our voice to Congress and the world. Simply having the facts, the truth, available to you and being able to speak with some ease about them against the hysterical voices of the ultra-Right Wing is one of the most important things you can do.

. . . . So that brings us to today's videos, President Obama's weekly address is below, he details the budget process, the role of health-care reform in helping the ailing economy, and details the Presidential memorandum signed this week that eliminates the "no-bid" process for Governmental processes.


. . . . . .Bill Maher and Real Time are a must-see for me every week, it's intelligent and normally makes me bust a gut laughing. This week in his closing monologue, after "New Rules", which was a classic in itself, Bill left my jaw hanging on the floor. Bill is an avowed Libertarian, and one of the most concise spokesman for Libertarianism. Bill's closing monologue was on the role of Government in everyday life, and in 5 minutes, summarizes absolutely what role Government plays in out lives, how important it is, and, coincidentally, how good it is at things we take for granted every day. I'm telling you to turn the podcast off for a moment (scroll down, go to the Podcast, look for the narrow bar near the top, the three green buttons on the left side, click the middle one to pause the podcast, come back up and play the video, then turn the music back on, it's simple!) This is a brilliant, concise summary of just how important it is to recognize that "the People" ARE the Government, and how important it is right now to not buy into the Right wing attacks on "The Government".


. . . . . .Kiss your kids, tell the ones you love out loud that you do, seize the precious moments with an open hand, change your own world and in so doing, change the world around you. This rodeo is a one-way ticket, and we don't get the dictate terms and conditions on how our ticket gets punched, so it's about the here and now. Make it count.

Your ever-lovin' nomad, the Desolation Angel
[Unadilla, MI 48137-9580]

06 March 2009

Friday on my mind

Out of my everlovin' mind and waaayyyy too much to get done!

Welcome faithful readers, I'm going to give you (and myself) a break today, it's been a heavy week, and there's a lot to catch up plus I'm working on two or three larger, longer pieces. Enjoy the podcast, my golden tones and the music, if you want to get caught up on the week, this is a good opportunity, just use the "Archives" column at left and browse them there.  I'll be back with you later on tonight and tomorrow!

. . . .Kiss your kids, tell the ones you love out loud that you do, seize the precious moments with an open hand, change your own world, and in so doing, change the world around you. This rodeo is a one-way ticket, no one gets out alive, and very few get to dictate the terms and conditions of how that ticket gets punched, so it's about what's right here and right now. This ain't no dress rehearsal.

Your everlovin' nomad, The Desolation Angel

05 March 2009

Mid-week (Northbound and down)

He rides past the edges of the light, campfires with groups and families surrounding them, safe from the night. His place is not with them, he rides alone, having chosen his fate, no home, no place to call his own, this outrider, his destination tied inexorably to the fate of the world.

 . . . .Changing the focus slightly today, and narrowing down into something that is creeping up from the outside, threatening to derail what the new Administration, only 44 days old, is trying to do to get this country turned around and back on the right track.

. . . .David Plouffe, the campaign manager for Obama, turned in this piece for the Washington Post today:

"The 2008 election sent many messages. At the top: Americans wanted to turn the page on the politics of division and partisan pettiness, and they wanted a government -- and country -- that would put the middle class first.
Watching the Republicans operate this past month, it would appear that they missed that unmistakable signal.
Instead, Rush Limbaugh has become their leader.
Limbaugh, of course, told his radio listeners that he's rooting for President Obama to fail -- and hoping the president's ideas for bolstering our economy fail with him. For many Americans, hungry for leadership and cooperation, this sounded like fingernails on a chalkboard. When Limbaugh reiterated the sentiment this weekend, hundreds of Republican conservatives cheered him on. But instead of rebuking the radio personality or charting their own course, Republican leaders in Washington are paralyzed with fear of crossing their leader. Less than 24 hours after committing the unforgivable sin of criticizing Limbaugh, RNC Chairman Michael Steele felt compelled to publicly apologize. He was not the first and will certainly not be the last.
Limbaugh's voice could be heard in the words of new Republican quarterback Eric Cantor, who says the GOP's strategy will be to "Just Say No" -- not for substantive or philosophical reasons but to advance Limbaugh's strategy for failure. Independent voters, those who find the ways of Washington particularly toxic, could be forgiven for wondering whether the Republican minority has any clue what is happening in our country"
. . . .Ana Marie Cox, the former blogger/author of Wonkette, turned this one in over at Twitter today @anamariecox, witty, and wish I'd written it:
"Today Rush called Rahm 'effeminate', 'a feral mother rat' & a 'ballerina'. Next come the more mature criticisms, like saying he has cooties".
. . . .Silly Rush, doesn't he know that Jack Bauer checks under his bed at night before he goes to bed to make sure that Rahm Emmanuel isn't there?

. . . . .And after I listened to it a second time, Rush did manage to misquote the U.S. Constitution during his incendiary, separatist speech last week at the Conservative Political Action Committee conference. During his speech, and I quote, he accused Barack Obama of "bastardizing the U.S. Constitution". In fact, it was Rush himself who actually, not theoretically, bastardized the Constitution by confusing it with the Declaration of Independence.  Directly from Limbaugh's speech:
"We want every American to be the best he or she chooses to be. We recognize that we are all individuals. We love and revere our founding documents, the Constitution and the Declaration of Independence. [Applause] We believe that the preamble to the Constitution contains an inarguable truth that we are all endowed by our creator with certain inalienable rights, among them life. [Applause] Liberty, Freedom. [Applause] And the pursuit of happiness. [Applause] Those of you watching at home may wonder why this is being applauded. We conservatives think all three are under assault. [Applause] Thank you. Thank you."
. . .Now, I'm fairly sure that what Rush meant to say was "Life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness", which of course is in the Declaration of Independence. Just for comparison's sake, the preamble to the Constitution of the United States reads:
"We the People of the United States, in Order to form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defense, promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America."
. . . .It's not nitpicking. If you're going to set yourself up to be a de facto party leader of the Republican party, if you're going to usurp the existing leadership, if you're going to set yourself as a knowledgeable leader of conservatism, a patriot and a champion of liberty, at least have a basic understanding of the documents that make this country what it is, and quit pretending that you know something or that your represent the American people!

. . . .Karl Rove is finally, finally going to be forced to testify in the Justice Department case brought against him, and that he ignored so many subpoenas for. The deal has been reached for him to testify (behind closed doors) and go on record with the House Judiciary Committee over the firings of so many U.S. Attorneys.

. . . . . .I was willing, for a while, to let George W. Bush and his bunch walk out the door, and not look back. I was ready to move forward, not out of any spirit of forgiveness, but just in the spirit of moving on. The release this week by the Justice Department of the first batch of secret memos from his administration changed all that for me, permanently. I agree wholeheartedly with Naomi Wolf, who wrote a very powerful piece for the Huffington Post, which I quote in part here:
"We need to stare them in the face and understand them: they are evidence that the groundwork was laid out that gave the president the legal power effectively subvert the Republic. We need to understand the full darkness of what we narrowly escaped -- for now, our work is hardly begun"
. . . .You can read the entire set of memos for yourself here, and attempt to wade through the legalese, but in essence, what the 4 most important say, and almost occurred to us as citizens is this:

(1) Most dramatically, one memo asserts that Bush can deploy the military within the United States -- all of the military if he so wishes -- overriding Posse Comitatus, which has kept us safe from military policing for over a century.
(2) Another memo would give the power to Bush -- at his discretion -- to close down or censor newspapers, radio and the Internet - override the First Amendment in the interest of "national security."
 (3) Yet another memo gives Bush not only the right to call any US citizen an "enemy combatant" and hold him or her indefinitely - a danger we knew about, this memo asserts Bush's right to do whatever he wants to innocent US citizens in this kind of custody, and rejects the notion that Congress would have any role in how US citizens are held or treated
(4) Still another memo gives Bush the right to ignore any international treaties -- to take over any country, say, or render and citizen anywhere, and do whatever he wants to the citizens of any country against any law, without consent of Congress.

. . . . I full well realize that Bush is gone, but what the release of these memos prove is something that I, and others like me had said for 8 years, that the Bill of Rights was gone and the U.S. Constitution had been subverted and we were under the Imperialist rule of George Bush, Dick Cheney and Karl Rove. It also proves that when one of us says that something like that is going on, and we've done the research, someone should pay attention. Had Barack Obama and Eric Holder not decided to overturn the memos immediately, and release them for the public's viewing, they would have remained in effect as Presidential findings, essentially becoming a law unto themselves for any future President to use. I deliberately led off today with the large, sweaty Rush Limbaugh misquoting the Constitution, because I knew he'd misquoted it. I wonder, sometimes, how many of us have read and know the documents that serve as the framework for our Republic. I wonder how many people mean to, but just can't get to it.
. . . .There can be no forgiveness for a man, for men, who pledged to uphold and defend the Constitution and within 9 months completely trampled it. These are real Presidential memos, signed and in force at the time, they are what we lived under for the last 8 years. 
. . .If we are going to be a voice for those who have lost their voice, defenders of the weak, helpless and defenseless, of freedom and liberty, true patriots, then it behooves all of us to brush up on our civics, and to read and understand the Declaration of Independence and the U.S. Constitution.
. . . .The voices and faces of the ultra-Conservatives, the extreme Right Wing will not go away. They do not want to find a spirit of unity and moving forward, they want to be back in power, and they want the legal force of those Presidential memos back in effect. They want us to go away, to serve them, to be subservient to them. We must be vigilant, and we must continue to be wary of those who wrap themselves in the flag, declare their patriotism and then go about destroying our Republic, our Democracy, our Nation.
. . . If we are going to build, to participate, to make our Nation a better place, one in which all citizens participate in the "American experiment", these are the things that we need to watch for.
. . . . .Whose side are you on? Ignorance and blind faith will not make this country a better place for our children and grandchildren, will not allow us to leave it a better place for them, which truly is our job.
. . . .Are you a member of the Lost 10th? An outrider, an outlaw, a renegade, a rebel, a buccaneer, a pirate?
. . . .Prove it.
. . . .Take a stand.
. . . .If you don't take a stand for something, you'll fall for anything
. . . . This season of Lost has me completely twisted and I love it! Why 1974? Why is it important that they be deposited back on the Island in that year? And if Faraday is right, that the past has already happened and not a thing can be done to change that, how could they be stranded there at the start of the series in 2006 and there be no evidence of them ever having been there? And how much does Richard Alpert really know? And would someone, for God's sake, please explain his agelessness? And what happened to Bernard, Rose and the rest of the Losties that Sawyer, Juliet, Faraday, Charlotte and Miles left on the beach at the beginning of this season? And could it be that Charles Widmore is really a good guy in all of this? Man, it's getting good.
. . . .Only 3 episodes left of Battlestar Galactica. If anyone watched it last week, yes, I'm certain that was Daniel, the piano player who was Starbuck's father, which would explain a lot. She's actually the first hybrid, and has been hidden all along, just in case something happened to Hera, which it did. The death of Laura Roslin will drive Bill Adama over the brink, and Tigh will have to take over Galactica's command, which puts a Cylon in charge of the ship, but the crew is already used to taking orders from him.
. . . .Haven't watched it yet, will have to when I get back home, but according to everyone I've talked to who knows my escapist obsession with 24, this Monday's two-hour episode was the best ever in it's 7 seasons, can't wait. (And thanks everyone for not spoiling it for me).
. . . .The New York Times details the plan revealed today by the Administration to help 3 to 4 million families stay in their homes and avoid foreclosure. The article and the details can be found here
. . . . . . . Andrew Cuomo, the New York State Attorney General has had enough. He's subpoened the top 7 executives from Merrill-Lynch, some of whom now work at Bank of America, since the buyout of Merrill-Lynch, and wants to know where their bonus money in 2008 came from, and if it came from bailout funds.  
. . . . .Yes, the new U2 album, No Line on the Horizon, is that damn good.

. . . . .Outta here, kiss your kids, tell the ones you love out loud that you do, seize the precious moments with an open hand, change your own world and in so doing, change the world at large around you. This is a one-way ticket in this rodeo, and no one gets out alive, and precious few get to dictate the terms of how the ticket gets punched, so it's about what we do in the here and now.

Your Nomad, the Desolation Angel

03 March 2009

Tuesday (42 days in)

At the ragged edge of our dreams, in the mist, his long coat flying in the wind, his hat flattened against his brow rides a ghost, a dream, the hoofboots of his horse beating a tattoo that your blood hears, that comes as a whisper to your soul. Who is this outrider, this ghost? What message does he bring to your dreams?

. . . . . .Listened to Ben Stein on Larry King Live on CNN on Monday night. Ben, if you didn't know it, is actually a very sharp economist and a former White House advisor. When questioned about the entire mess confronting us, Ben at least for me, vindicated some of the things I've been saying. Whether we like it or not, the banks need the first attention, they're the basis of our currency's worth, the underpinnings of the economy. Ben said it in such a plain fashion, and it made so much sense. When a plane has a sudden loss of pressure, is open to the atmosphere while flying up at height, the instructions, as always given by the flight attendant are to put the mask over your own face first, so you will continue to be able to help others. Same principle, the banks need the oxygen first so they can make sure that the oxygen mask gets over the rest of our faces.

. . . . . .Hats off to Jeremy Summerlin, I, we, several of us, were having a conversation on Sunday, and he brought up something that he'd heard over the previous week. If we remove the words American from any of the currently running conversations around the economy, around bailouts and stimulus packages, then absolutely nothing we're doing is any different than we've been directing the IMF and the World Bank to do everywhere else in the world for decades now. It's not unnatural, not out of the norm for the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, at our direction, to step into a country and reorganize their markets, their banking, their currency, to keep the world economy moving. Actually, it's been done for a very, very long time in the smaller countries around the world repeatedly. Step into a country, recommend that the banks be nationalized, where they can be tightly regulated and watched, until the economy stabilizes out again, and then recommend that those banks be sold back to private interests.

. . . .
And a nod to his father, Tom Summerlin, one of my best friends and a truly intelligent person. In that same conversation, he drove the point home that the jobless issue, the housing and foreclosure crisis, all lead back to the banks. Practical, real example he gave: A house he knows of is mortgaged for $180,000. The owners are only asking $120, 000 but can't get that. The house will probably go for around $70,000 at auction. The money, the $110,000 difference that the house is mortgaged for vs. what it will get at auction is real money that a bank or mortgage company has to now eat as a loss, a toxic asset loss. As long as the banks keep bleeding money, and housing prices plunge, then the banks can't cover their other loans, and have to raise interest rates and tighten credit, which exacerbates and accelerates the spiral, leading to more job losses as more builders don't do business, as more people aren't needed to sell lumber, plumbing and electrical products, and more people aren't needed to manufacture those items. It really is all connected, and really does all feed, one to the other.

. . . . .
On Monday, the market closed below 6800, today it closed just a hair above 6700, The Economy Tracker over at CNN.com shows that national unemployment rate at over 7% (with Michigan leading the nation in double digits at 10.8%) and foreclosures spiraling across the country, Florida lead the nation in December with over 50,000 foreclosure filings, GM, Ford & Chrysler all turned in sales figures today that show sales slumps in the 40% to 50% range, the worst in 27 years, can we call it a Depression yet?
. . . . .Bernanke was grilled again today on Capitol Hill over the latest money thrown at AIG for bailouts, he had this to say:

"I share your concern, I share your anger," Bernanke told the Senate Budget Committee. "It's a terrible situation, but we're not doing this to bail out AIG or their shareholders. We're doing this to protect our financial system and to avoid a much more severe crisis in our global economy."
AIG is so big and sprawling, so intertwined with institutions around the globe, that its downfall could set off a vicious chain reaction. Upheaval on such a global scale would plunge the U.S. economy deeper into recession, drive up unemployment and stifle hopes for an economic rebound any time soon.
. . . . In the meantime, the New York Times reports that the black hats over at Countrywide, one of the prime players in this mess, one of the companies who started our national economy down this long, dark road came up with a surprise today. It's entire management team is leaving to start a firm to buy up toxic loans and mortgage assets. Just think of any mob movie, with the local capo buying houses, burning them down, then collecting the insurance. Absolutely no difference here:

Whether they deserve to be or not, Countrywide Financial and its top executives would be on most lists of those who share blame for the nation’s economic crisis. After all, the banking behemoth made risky loans to tens of thousands of Americans, helping set off a chain of events that has the economy staggering.
But to some, it is distressing turn of events to see the Countrywide team, led by Mr. Kurland, in the business again.
“It is sort of like the arsonist who sets fire to the house and then buys up the charred remains and resells it,” said Margo Saunders, a lawyer with the National Consumer Law Center, which for more than a decade has sought to place limits on abusive lending practices.
More than any other major lending institution, Countrywide has become synonymous with the excesses that led to the housing bubble. The once-highflying firm’s reputation has been so tarnished that Bank of America, which bought it last year at a bargain price, announced that Countrywide’s name and logo, which had once proudly announced the biggest mortgage lender in the United States, would soon disappear forever.

. . . . .Again, I'm going to urge you to bookmark, or mark as a "Favorite" White House.gov, where you can stay in touch with the Administration and hear the latest news from the White House, Recovery.gov, where you can track every dollar from the stimulus package, and Financial Stability.gov, where Geithner, Summers, Bernanke et al report out on the various bailout monies going out.

. . . . . .So, where does that lead us, it leads us here, with the need for us all to reach out and help one another, to notice and understand that people who may have been on the edge of ruin before have most definitely been pushed off it. There are so many good organizations out there, I'd like to point out at least a couple. Feeding America, (formerly America's Second Harvest) points out that 1 in 8 Americans face hunger on a daily basis, so probably someone you know is hungry or dangerously underfed, most likely a child, 12 million of whom will go hungry in this country tonight. Their campaign is a simple and powerful one. Click the link above or here to go to their website, learn about them and do what you can to advocate, volunteer or donate to help insure that a child will not go to bed hungry tonight.

. . . . . .Another organization, a political one, that I want to highlight today is Americans United For Change. They are a non-partisan organization devoted to advancing a progressive agenda that promotes dignity and respect for working people, that advocates for a higher minimum wage, that advocates for the working men and women who built this country. I urge you to click the link here and find out more about them. Quoting from their website:

Americans United For Change is a platform for patriotic voices from all along the ideological spectrum: people who care about America and believe we are stronger united rather than divided; moving forward rather than standing still. We are not a partisan organization nor are we allied with any political party. Together, we will amplify our voices so the priorities of working people can no longer be ignored by the powerful. Our goal is simple: a government that works for all of us.

. . . . . .Music news: The tickets for Bruce Springsteen's spring and summer tour are on sale now
- The Grateful Dead are reforming as the Dead and will start to tour in April in North Carolina
- U2's tour is being planned, it will be a stadium tour and the set is an engineering marvel according to those who are working on it.
- Break Like The Wind! Holy reunion boogaloo Batman, Spinal Tap are reforming, reuniting and going out on tour. Nigel Tufnel, Derek Smalls and David St. Hubbins (he of the custom made amps that went to 11) will be touring this Spring, their opening act will be the Folksmen (Mark Shubb, Jerry Palter & Alan Barrows) last seen in the movie A Mighty Wind. Seriously, Michael McKean, Christopher Guest and Harry Shearer have put together a tour called "Unwigged and Unplugged" that will be hitting concert halls this spring where they plan to do acoustic versions of both Spinal Tap and Folksmen songs, along with a few laughs I'm sure. They say that the wigs and spandex make them sweat too much at this age, so they're going unplugged. Well. . . .that and it's so hard to find drummers these days who won't spontaneously combust!
. . . . . .For those of us and those of you who are fighting so hard for transparency in our politics and our governmental processes, I'd like to introduce you to the Sunlight Foundation, which was founded to bring transparency and sunlight to our governing processes and acts as an umbrella for several other organizations:
- Open Secrets.org, which tracks the influence of money and lobbyists on our Representatives and Senators. From their website:

OpenSecrets.org is your nonpartisan guide to money’s influence on U.S. elections and public policy. Whether you’re a voter, journalist, activist, student or interested citizen, use our free site to shine light on your government. Count cash and make change.
- MapLight.org, which again tracks money, where it comes from and where it goes; subsidies, lobbying, stimulus, bailout, all of it and how it winds it's way through Washington and Capitol Hill.
- OpenCongress.org, which I use to track bills in Congress. The process of how a bill is written and passed is quite complex, and there are always several in the pipeline, this site does a good job of collating all the available information on what's moving through Congress; the who, the how, the when and keep it one place.
- SunlightLabs.com, which for geeks like me is manna from heaven. It's the project that the Sunlight Foundation is putting together to get government data collated, open and free and available on the web. This one is especially useful for those of us who are cyber-cowboys and are trying to make the information flow.
The motto for this entire schmear of groups from Sunlight "Transparency has a posse". Love it!
- One other project that Sunlight is needing petition signatures for right now, and which I think is incredibly important is called ReadTheBill.org. Did you actually read the stimulus package, the budget or the bailout bill? Nope you didn't, but neither did your representative or Senator. The stimulus package was given to the Representatives and they were told they had 13 hours to read it before the vote. This petition is asking Congress put all bills online for public reading for 72 hours before the vote, to give both us and our Representatives and Senators a chance to actually read it. I think it's an incredibly important step towards open, transparent participatory democracy. Please click the link and sign the petition.
. . . . . .Has occurred to anyone at all that asking Karl Rove to do analysis on TV and be a pundit on the stimulus package, the budget and bailout bills is a lot like asking Nick Nolte to do an ad against drunk driving, or Lindsay Lohan and Britney Spears to do one about drug abuse, or Chris Brown to do a PSA about domestic violence? If this is the Matrix, Karl Rove is the Architect for Christ's sake! He's the mastermind behind this miasma of monetary madness that we're in. He was the king of deregulation, and it was he and his buddies that started this ball rolling downhill and now news shows want him to comment? Rush Limbaugh is only a large, sweaty object acting as the public face of the GOP right now, in a classic case of watch the right hand so you don't know what the left hand is doing.
. . . . . .It happened again, I got stopped in the street by a young man who wanted to talk to me about David Simon being down here in New Orleans doing pre-production work on his new series for HBO as yet unnamed, as his post-Wire work, still one of the best series to ever be on television. As he finished his conversation he asked "And what are you doing down here Mr. Eastwood, what are you working on?" Then there were the two ladies in the Smoothie King shop who wouldn't let me leave without an autograph (I signed my own name). Fer Chris'sake people, I'm at least 20 years younger than him. Have I aged that badly?
. . . . . . Listening to U2's new album right now, it's a masterpiece, I promise to put at least one track up on the podcast by tomorrow.
. . . . . .And speaking of Rush Limbaugh, the more I watch last week's tape of the CPAC, the more I see a very uncanny resemblance to Tony Soprano. The black shirt, the too small black suit coat, the large, sweaty mass of him all deflecting everything onto someone else. Does he think that somehow we've forgotten that President Obama has only been in office 43 days? That this mess started back with Reagan and his "trickle-down" economics and the Laffer curve for economics drawn on a country club cocktail napkin? That it extended through Bush and NAFTA and CAFTA and was crown-jeweled during the deregulatory Bush years where the CEO's of mortgage companies went to town.
. . . . . .I said it yesterday, there isn't any neutral ground anymore. Whose side are you on? Pick one, and choose wisely, it's about our kids and grandkids, it's about a fundamental paradigm shift in how we participate on our government.
. . . .Are you a lone rider? A renegade, a pirate, an outlaw, a loner, a member of the Lost 10th?
. . . .Who are you? Really, down inside your soul? Who are you? Are you someone who will work for the people, protect those who have been cast aside, raise a voice and be prepared to stand alone, to stake your sash to the ground and defend the people?
. . . .Who are you?

. . . . .Kiss your kids, tell the ones you love out loud that you do, seize the precious moments with an open hand. Change your own world and in so doing, change the larger world around you. None of us, you, me, anyone, none of us gets out of this alive, and only a very few are lucky enough to dictate the terms and conditions around getting that ticket punched, so it's about what we do here and now. What's it gonna be?

Your ever-lovin' Nomad, the Desolation Angel
[where:821 Gravier St., New Orleans, LA 70130]

01 March 2009

Monday, Monday, Monday

in Just-spring when the world is mud-licious the little lame balloon man whistles far and wee......

. . . . . One of my favorite e e cummings poems ever

. . . . . .Despite the frigidity in the Great Lakes, tornadoes followed by snow in the Deep South and a blizzard on the East Coast, spring really is coming.

. . . . . .I'm going to lead off today with one sent to me by my son Caleb. For those who know Caleb, he's the quiet one, so when he speaks or writes something, we all pay attention. He really does have keen insight into quite a bit. Right now, he's all the way up near Canada going to college at Michigan Technological University, up in Houghton. Here's what he had to say:

Dad,
I just thought this might be an interesting tid bit of info for your blog. The economy is worse than I think anyone really realizes. Last week, at the Michigan Tech career fair, where 90% of graduates from a top 10 engineering school get their jobs, over 50 companies pulled out and of the remaining 130, other than rail companies, they only offered UNPAID internships (not the norm for professional engineers at all) and of companies that did set up interviews, 50% were canceled because the recruiters had to cut the trip short because the companies didn't have it in their budget to stay up here for more than two days. These companies included Halliburton, Caterpillar, J.S. Alberici, and honestly far too many more to name. The Sigma Kappa Upsilon Mu house, the one I'm pledging, the one with the highest GPA on campus, has three graduating brothers, an EE, one who had a job offer from Halliburton, but has now been reduced to contingent on him being #1 in his class during training. There are 75 people in his training class. The other two, one a civil engineer and the other a mechanical engineer, both with GPA's above 3.3, have yet to be called back for an interview, although they both received exceptional ratings during their internships with MDOT and OshKosh, respectively. I guess what I'm trying to ask, as worried as we are about those with families trying to support them, how are the young ones to go about starting their lives when all we've ever heard was work hard, go to college, get good grades, get a degree, and everything will work out. Well, things aren't working out, so where do we go from here?

Love you,

Caleb
. . . . .And that's the real question folks. For a lot of us, this rodeo is more than half over and we're on the downside of it. It's our kids and grandkids that we need to start worrying about and what we're building for them.

. . . .The "We Are Watching You" political action movement is gaining traction. Right now, some of the people associated with it are looking at what it takes to form it up as a formal Political Action Committee. It is an ominous name, but that's it's intent. Remember, the idea behind it is non-partisan and about participatory government. It's designed to let our elected representatives, no matter their party affiliation, and the media too, know that what we voted for in November, what we worked for all last year, is change itself in a fundamental way, not just Barack Obama. If the politicians on Capitol Hill don't get that we got tired of 30 years of Reaganomics, of watching the rich become ultra-rich, that we got tired of 8 years of an Imperialist Presidency and watching everything we believed in get trampled on, then it's time for them to get out of the way.

. . . .U2's new album, No Line on the Horizon comes out today. I've heard at least 30 second snippets of every track. I still believe that Joshua Tree and Unforgettable Fire are their two best pieces of work, and this one has a couple of tracks that harken back to those two's sound, and this one has several tracks that have that same anthemic sweep that those two albums had, but there are also a couple of tracks that bring up Zooropa and that feel. In other words, they're now in the same position that Bruce is in, they're established artists who can play what they damn well feel is their art. Not bad for 4 boys from the North side of Dublin. (On top of that, they're Irish, they can't make bad music!)

. . . . .I was reflecting on that this weekend, going back over the Irish bands and musicians who have blessed us; Van Morrison, The Chieftains, The Boomtown Rats, The Pogues, Horslips all came along before U2 and much before Flogging Molly.

. . . . .Best of the Sunday talk shows:
- Rahm Emmanuel on Face The Nation took on one of my favorite Right-wing mouth breathers, Rush Limbaugh. In fact, absolutely no one I've seen this week seems happier about Rush Limbaugh becoming the visible face of the Republican Party than Rahm Emmanuel, Obama's Chief of Staff, who goes so far as to call Limbaugh the 'intellectual force' of the Republican Party.


- While over on Meet the Press, Obama's Intelligence chief, Robert Gates, who was Bush's Intelligence chief too, gave a very telling response to one question. He stated that Obama was 'more analytical' than Bush.


On the green front, the Rev. Charla down at Hawkwind sends this along, from the New York Times, earlier this week:
February 27, 2009
Op-Ed Contributor

Yellow Is the New Green

Woolley, England
IN the far reaches of Shaanxi Province in northern China, in an apple-producing village named Ganquanfang, I recently visited a house belonging to two cheery primary-school teachers, Zhang Min Shu and his wife, Wu Zhaoxian. Their house wasn’t exceptional — a spacious yard, several rooms — except for the bathroom. There, up a few steps on a tiled platform, sat a toilet unlike any I’d seen. Its pan was divided in two: solid waste went in the back, and the front compartment collected urine. The liquids and solids can, after a decent period of storage and composting, be applied to the fields as pathogen-free, expense-free fertilizer.
From being unsure of wanting a toilet near the house in the first place — which is why the bathroom is at the far end of their courtyard — the couple had become so delighted with it that they regretted not putting it next to the kitchen after all.
What does this have to do with you? Mr. Zhang and Ms. Wu’s weird toilet — known as a “urine diversion,” or NoMix (after a Swedish brand), toilet — may have things to teach us all.
In the industrialized world, most of us (except those who have septic tanks) rely on wastewater-treatment plants to remove our excrement from the drinking-water supply, in great volumes. (Toilets can use up to 30 percent of a household’s water supply.) This paradigm is rarely questioned, and I understand why: flush toilets, sewers and wastewater-treatment plants do a fine job of separating us from our potentially toxic waste, and eliminating cholera and other waterborne diseases. Without them, cities wouldn’t work.
But the paradigm is flawed. For a start, cleaning sewage guzzles energy. Sewage treatment in Britain uses a quarter of the energy generated by the country’s largest coal-fired power station.
Then there is the nutrient problem: Human excrement is rich in nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium, which is why it has been a good fertilizer for millenniums and until surprisingly recently. (A 19th-century “sewage farm” in Pasadena, Calif., was renowned for its tasty walnuts.) But when sewage is dumped in the seas in great quantity, these nutrients can unbalance and sometimes suffocate life, contributing to dead zones (405 worldwide and counting, according to a recent study). Sewage, according to the United Nations Environment Program, is the biggest marine pollutant there is. Wastewater-treatment plants work to extract the nutrients before discharging sewage into water courses, but they can’t remove them all.
And there’s also the urine problem. Urine, like any liquid, is a headache for wastewater managers, because most sewer systems take water from street drains along with the toilet, shower and kitchen kind. Population growth is already taxing sewers. (London’s great network was built in the late 19th century with 25 percent extra capacity, but a system designed for three million people must now serve more than twice as many.) When a rainstorm suddenly sends millions of gallons of water into an already overloaded system, the extra must be stored or — if storage is lacking — discharged, untreated, into the nearest river or harbor. Each week, New York City sends about 800 Olympic-size swimming pools’ worth of sewage-polluted water into nearby waters because there’s nowhere else for it to go.
This probably won’t kill us, but it’s not ideal. Environmental scientists in California have calculated that sewage discharged near 28 Southern California beaches has contributed to up to 1.5 million excess gastrointestinal illnesses, costing as much as $51 million in health care. We can do better.
Urine might be one way forward. Before engineers scoff into their breakfast, consider that since at least 135,000 urine-diversion toilets are in use in Sweden and that a Swiss aquatic institute did a six-year study of urine separation that found in its favor. In Sweden, some of the collected urine — which contains 80 percent of the nutrients in excrement — is given to farmers, with little objection. “If they can use urine and it’s cheap, they’ll use it,” said Petter Jenssen, a professor at the Agricultural University of Norway.
The price of phosphorus fertilizers rose 50 percent in the past year in some parts of the world, as phosphate reserves, the largest of which are in Morocco and China, dwindle. (The gloomiest predictions suggest they’ll be gone in 100 years.) Although half of sewage sludge in the United States is already turned into cheap fertilizer known as “biosolids,” urine contains hardly any of the pathogens or heavy metals that critics of biosolids claim remain in mixed sewage, despite treatment.
The rest of Sweden’s collected urine goes to municipal wastewater plants, but in much smaller volume so it’s easier to deal with. Research by Jac Wilsenach, now a civil engineer in South Africa, found that removing even half of the nutrient-rich urine enables the bacteria in the aeration tanks to munch all the nitrogen and phosphate matter in solid waste in a single day rather than the usual 30. Urine diversion also makes for richer sludge and produces more methane, which can be turned into gas or electricity, Mr. Wilsenach said. In short, separating urine turns a guzzler of energy into a net producer.
Putting urine to use is not new. A friend’s grandmother remembers the man coming round for the buckets 60 years ago in Yorkshire, which were then sold to the tanning industry. The flush toilet ended that, and no one — my friend’s nan included — wants outside privies again. “Any innovation in the toilet that increases owner responsibility is probably seen as downwardly mobile,” said Carol Steinfeld, of New Bedford, Mass., who imports NoMix toilets into the United States.
Then there’s the sitting problem: in most urine-diversion toilets, a man must empty his bladder sitting down. This wouldn’t be a problem in some countries — Germany recently introduced a toilet-seat alarm that admonishes standers to sit — but it has been in others. Professor Jenssen was flummoxed by one participant at a training workshop in Cuba who said firmly, “If a man sits, he is homosexual.”
For now, “ecological sanitation” — or more sustainable sewage disposal — thrives mostly in fast-industrializing countries like China and India, which have money to invest in alternatives but few sewers. A subculture of composting toilets exists in the United States, but only a few hundred urine-diversion toilets have been imported, Ms. Steinfeld said.
Necessity — whether occasioned by fertilizer prices, carbon footprints or crippling capital investments — could bring change. At a recent wastewater conference, I watched in astonishment as dour engineers rushed to question a speaker who had been talking about stabilization ponds, which clean sewage using water, flow control, bacteria and light. Normally, such things would be cast into the box of hippie-ish ecological sanitation. But to managers struggling with energy quotas and budget limitations, more sustainable, less energy-intensive sanitation may be starting to make sense.
As Mr. Zhang told me with a smile: “For me, whatever the toilet is, I use it. For example, here we eat wheat. When we go to the south of China, we eat rice. Otherwise we starve.”
It’s been more than 100 years since Teddy Roosevelt wondered aloud whether “civilized people ought to know how to dispose of the sewage in some other way than putting it into the drinking water.” The Zhang family toilet is not the perfect answer to Roosevelt, as it still uses some water, though 80 percent less than a regular flush toilet uses. But at least it’s the result of someone asking the right questions.
Rose George is the author of “The Big Necessity: The Unmentionable World of Human Waste and Why It Matters.”
. . . . .Personally, these are all issues that we have to confront, and get over ourselves. I agree with Teddy Roosevelt, yes, that's right, re-read the article - Teddy Roosevelt. Due to our own discomfort with our bodily functions, the same ones we've always had, that somehow 'civilized' people don't talk about, we've been doing a good job or polluting our own drinking water for some time, and we are going to begin to run out of it.

. . . . . .Over at the Washington Post on Sunday, Jim Hoagland wrote this one, keeping his focus on Obama's Mideastern policy and the fundamental changes he introduced this week in his announcements around the troop drawdown in Iraq, analyzing the shift in focus that Obama is bringing onto Afghanistan and Pakistan.

. . . . . . Again at the Washington Post, Lori Montgomery put this one together analyzing the budget as it was introduced on Thursday, stating that it marks the largest ideological shift in Washington's political thinking since Reaganomics.

. . . . . . From the overseas news desk, from the Times of London, from Sarah Baxter in their Washington bureau, comes this one, where her analysis is that Obama buried Reaganomics, and that's a dead horse in the road, whose carcass we no longer need to flail upon with sticks.

. . . . . . David Shribman, in the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, put this one together for his Sunday column:

For more than a year, Barack Obama ran as the man from hope -- or at least a man of hope. The implicit notion was that Americans could feel free to hope again, that they could dare to believe, and that the very act of hoping could be redemptive, and effective, too. Obama has been in office for little more than a month, and it is clear that hope is the thing with feathers. It flew away.

Until last week. Hope is back, or at least it is back in the Obama repertoire.

The president is a luminous figure, a symbol of American possibility, the personification of decades of dreams, . . . . .
he combined all of that with a clarion call for action and an assurance -- this you might think of as Reaganesque -- that Americans could pull out of the current crisis and pull off something remarkable, like providing health care to all Americans. . . . . .
Yet last week marked a significant passage in the current crisis. Americans have known for some time that the economy was in turmoil, and they have seen their neighbors if not themselves lose jobs, savings, confidence and, yes, hope. But last week the crisis seemed to have been transformed from something transitory to something stubbornly resistant to reasonable and customary remedy.
. . . . .The tie together for the entire week's worth of columns is represented in that piece above and what I've been writing about since last September. It is about hope, it is about faith, it is about perserverance, it is about belief, it is about vindication and it is about redemption. We were not wrong back in the 60's and the 70's to believe that we could change the world. We were not wrong to rebel against "the Establishment". We took a vacation for a while, a long one. We quit believing, and we got cynical and burned out. A man from Illinois, in one of our Nation's darkest hours helped us to believe again, he gave us one simple, powerful slogan. "Yes, we can", and we started to believe it again. I did some focus this week on the extreme Right wing for a reason. They don't want him to succeed, they've said now in speaker after speaker at the Conservative Political Action Conference, openly and avowedly. If they don't want him to succeed, they don't want any of us to succeed or survive. They've pointed out the fundamental difference between "us" and "them". They are different, and they don't want to be like us, they don't want all of us to succeed, to be better and they don't give one damn about someone who has lost their home, or a child who is hungry.
. . . . .Maybe at another point in time, people, we can all join hands and see one another as equal, invite them under the big tent that we are building that includes all of the people, but not today, not tomorrow and not in the foreseeable future. They don't like us, and they don't care if we're sick, if we're hungry or thirsty. They don't care if someone is treated without justice or unequally, they don't care about you, your kids or your grandkids.
. . . .Pick a side people, for it is about sides, there are people who are going to work for his failure, for the failure of our country, because to them that will be vindication of their belief that they should be in charge, that they're the only ones qualified to do so, that they should somehow lead us.
. . . . .Pick a side, and be ready to defend this country, this Constitution and this flag. It is about democracy vs. imperialism, about rich vs. poor, about have vs. have-not.
. . . . .Pick a side, are you a member of the Lost 10th or aren't you? Are you a dog soldier, a renegade, a ronin, a pirate, a buccaneer, an outlaw, a cowboy or aren't you?
. . . . .Pick a side, are you ready to let the politicians know that "We are Watching You"
. . . . .Pick a side, it's about your kids and grandkids.
. . . . .Pick a side. John F. Kennedy quoted Dante when he said "The hottest circles of Hell are reserved for those who pick neutrality in times of great moral crisis".
. . . . .This is one of those times.

. . . . . .Kiss your kids, tell the ones you love out loud that you do, seize the precious moments with an open hand, change your world and in so going change the larger world around you.

The Desolation Angel

Sunday Morning over not-so-easy (Happy Birthday Cody!)

Today is a big day, a huge, momentous day! Today, is my oldest son's birthday. Cody is 24 years old today, and I wish him a very, very Happy Birthday and hope he has a good day.

. . . . . . .Right off the bat, if you're getting used to the podcast, yes, that's me that's talking, and just go ahead and leave the website up and running, you'll hear music that you probably wouldn't otherwise ordinarily hear.


. . . . . .This in this morning, Gary, a regular contributor and a supporter of the "We Are Watching You" watchdog movement on both Houses of Congress sent this along last night:
"After Obama's comments today about being determined to change government, the "We Are Watching" movement seems a natural to notify congress, both houses and both parties, that changing the way things are done in Washington is what we voted for. Organizations and institutions both inside and outside government should be on notice that they need to get on the train or be left at the station. Be it an insurance company that wants to resist the change to universal health care, or a congress person who drags their feet on legislation passed by a majority of people in a democratic government, they can either change or be changed.
Gary"
. . . . .If you'd like to know more about "We Are Watching You", e-mail me at any of the addresses you see scattered around the page here, and I'll give you more details. It's simple, really, it's a non-partisan movement that is designed to put people's energies behind letting both Houses of Congress know, no matter the party affiliation, that We the People are in charge of the country again, and what we voted for back in November was a fundamental paradigm shift from the last 20 years, and that we want things done that are effective and serve the people, not the other way around.

. . . . . .Note of sympathy - Paul Harvey died Saturday in Arizona. Yes, I liked Paul Harvey, a lot, and if you listen to the podcast, I have an affinity for radio jocks. I grew up listening to WKZO radio in Kalamazoo, MI where Paul's syndicated show could be heard everyday. Personally, I will wait until I cross the Great Divide and will be waiting then for Paul to tell me "the rest of the story".

. . . . . .Think Progress reports that Shepard Smith, a Fox News anchor, broke ranks with his networks philosophies the other night and finally went into an outraged sputter over a Guantanamo detainee being held for 5 years without charges.
SMITH: He has been held in a military prison for more than five years — not Chris Wallace — this next person. And he wasn’t ever charged. Think about that. I mean just think about it fundamentally. You are held for five years in prison, and you’re never charged! Oh well it was an al-Qaeda suspect, suspected al-Qaeda operative. Who cares who it is?! You don’t get to — this is America; you do not get to hold people for five years without — actually, you do. But he’s getting its day in court now.
. . . . . .Doubling down on his idiocy, Rush Limbaugh, in his closing speech to the CPAC (The Conservative Political Action Conference) stated emphatically that he wanted President Obama to fail -
"This notion that I want the president to fail, this shows you the problem we've got. This is nothing more than common sense and to not be able to say it? . . . . .
So what is so strange about being honest and saying I want Barack Obama to fail. . . . .
We are in the aspects here of a historic presidency, I know that. But let me be honest again, I got over the historical aspects of that in November. President Obama is our president. President Obama stands for some things. He could be a Martian. He could be from Michigan. I don't care. It doesn't matter to me what his race is. It doesn't matter. He is liberal. That's what matters to me....
And I'm supposed to say I don't want the president to fail? We are in for a real battle. We are talking about the United States of America... remaining the country we were all born into and reared and grown into. And it is under assault, it has always been under assault. But it has never been under assault like this, from within."
. . . . .My one simple question for Rush is this: If, as advanced by Rush Limbaugh, Ann Coulter, Sean Hannity, Bill O'Reilly, Michelle Malkin and the rest of that crowd, I was un-American and treasonous for not supporting George Bush's policies while he was President, because supporting the President, once he is elected, is the American thing to do, according to that crowd, does not make Rush now a traitor, treasonous and un-American by his own reasoning?

. . . . .NBC's "Meet the Press" on in the background right now. Republicans sputtering about the stimulus package and most specifically the tax provisions. I don't know about any of you, but I don't even know anyone who makes $250,000 year. How do they know so many, all of whom are presumably now going to be sent to the poor house by being forced to pay their fair share.

. . . . . .Right in line with all this, Paul Jenkins turns this piece in - "Republicans - The Worst Week Ever"
When Republicans suffered a disastrous beating in November's election, it would have been fair to assume that things could not get worse for them: the-most-liberal-Senator was to be president, Nancy-Pelosi-from-San-Francisco was going to lead a massive Democratic majority in the House, and assorted socialists were going to run things. That was bad, yes, but this week, just like the stock market (funny how that goes), Republicans hit yet a new low. In recent days, Republican leaders were called cheesy, off-putting, disastrous, untrustworthy, and inconsequential, not by Democrats, but by their party's own members, from high-profile commentators to Governors.
. . . . . .And this one - from the New York Times this morning - "Ailing GOP risks losing an entire generation"
Americans identifying themselves as Democrats outnumber those who say they are Republicans by 10 percentage points, the largest gap in party identification in 24 years.


. . . . .An absolutely unhinged Tom DeLay weighed in earlier this week (remember him? Disgraced, ousted, corrupt Republican Congressman?) calling President Obama's speech "The most irresponsible, hypocritical speech I've ever witnessed" and went on to call Obama "insane" later on.
. . . . .Ann Coulter, the bitch queen of ultra-Right Wing fascist conservatism absolutely dismissed the idea that she was bad for the GOP during her appearance at the Conservative Political Action Conference this weekend:
QUESTIONER: A couple weeks ago you made an appearance on... TV's The View. You compared Barbara Walters reading your book 'Guilty' to a [inaudible] reading of Mein Kampf. I just want to ask that your style of self-expression is advantageous to the Republican cause? And if not... because it is no secret to anybody that you definitely know how to stir a deep pot with a long spoon.

COULTER: Okay, I got the question. The answer is yes. I mean that is a perfect example of this insane phenomenon that I describe in my book: people playing victims to achieve some advantage. What, you're not allowed to cite Mein Kampf? Is that the new rule? Because someone better tell the New York Times book review.

QUESTIONER: I just thought because there is another side to that...

COULTER: No, no. We got the question. Step away from the mic.

. . . . .Bob Cesca turned in one of the best pieces I've read this week that sums up all of the above lunacy and leads into the last little piece and serves to set up the intro for today's main thought.

After nearly three decades of Reaganomics in which the wealthiest two percent have grown exponentially wealthier while middle class wages have remained stagnant, a growing faction of super rich Americans is seriously pissed off -- and their Wingnut Revolution is upon us.

Sure, the interests and influence of the wealthiest two percent make them more responsible than most for the free market policies that created this current economic crisis. But if there's one thing we've learned about those responsible for this recession, it's that the concept of accountability is about as foreign as their live-in au pairs. Instead, they're trying to pin this on Barney Frank and a legion of "losers" (read that: working class minorities) even though Ben Bernanke himself has debunked this myth.

But accountability (a "day of reckoning" as President Obama called it) is underway in the form of the president's housing proposal, his healthcare plan and, naturally, the recovery act. At the end of the day, ninety-five percent of Americans will benefit from what amounts to the largest tax cut in American history, along with increased access to affordable healthcare and millions of new jobs.

Though, alas, the super rich will have to pay slightly more in taxes.

. . . . .And, sadly, finally, this last little bit, brought to light on Politico, and brought to you courtesy of the "Men In Black, Black Helicopter, they're putting cameras in all of our digital converter boxes crowd"
"Bill Clinton had the Vince Foster "murder." George W. Bush had 9/11 Truth. And the new administration has brought with it a new culture of conspiracy: The Birthers.

Out of the gaze of the mainstream and even the conservative media is a flourishing culture of advocates, theorists and lawyers, all devoted to proving that Barack Obama isn't eligible to be president of the United States. Viewed as irrelevant by the White House, and as embarrassing by much of the Republican Party, the subculture still thrives from the conservative website WorldNetDaily, which claims that some 300,000 people have signed a petition demanding more information on Obama's birth, to Cullman, Alabama, where Sen. Richard Shelby took a question on the subject at a town hall meeting last week.

Their confinement to the fringe hasn't cooled the passion of believers; the obscure New York preacher James Manning turned up at a National Press Club session in December to declare the president "the most notorious criminal in the history not just of America, but of this entire planet."

A quick reality check, before we dive in: The challenges to Obama's eligibility have no grounding in evidence. Courts across the country have summarily rejected the movement's theory — that Obama can't be a citizen because his father wasn't —as a misreading of U.S. law; and Hawaii officials, along with contemporary birth announcements, affirm that Obama was in fact born in Honolulu in 1961. "
. . . . .People, the point is this. We are all Americans, and many of us, disgusted after 20-30 years of corrupt politics in which the rich got richer and we got screwed, got active last year. We remembered that we were Baby Boomers, children whose political consciousness was brought to life in the 60's and the 70's, people who believed that we could change and world and we did. We voted for change, and we brought change about, but only the beginning of it. The vote, the election meant absolutely nothing, nothing at all unless we (1) get busy (2) stay vigilant & (3) remember that the dragon will not be slain so easily.
We made it easy for the ultra-Right Wing fascist wingnuts, we gave up our part in participatory democracy for decades, and we let them make our children, our elderly, our poorest and our weakest suffer further. We let them kill our sons and daughters, our nieces and nephews for their causes and we said nothing for a very, very long time. We made it easy for them, and we made them rich. They won't go away just because we want them to, they want to live too, and most importantly, they're doing their jobs. They are reminding us of just what we could become, they are providing that mirror so we can look into it and say to ourselves "I don't want that". We need to volunteer to help, we need to reach a hand out, and we need to stay sharp, stay frosty, stay cool and be wary of the arguments that they will put forth, and remember that this is a participatory democracy, and we need to be responsible members of the Republic and make sure that the voices of compassion, reason, intelligence, love and humility are always heard.

Kiss your kids, tell the ones you love out loud that you do, seize the precious moments with an open hand and change your world and in so doing, change the world around you.

The Desolation Angel